SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA SURF FORECAST UPDATED 6-25-13
Tropical Storm Cosme, the third named storm of the 2013 Eastern Pacific hurricane season, is churning well south of the Mexican Riviera.
The hurricane’s maximum sustained winds Tuesday morning are near 75 mph (120 kph) with some additional strengthening possible during the day. The hurricane is expected to weaken Wednesday and Thursday.
Cosme is centered about 365 miles south of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico, and is moving northwest near 18 mph (30 kph).
The U.S. National Hurricane Center in Miami says the storm will generate large swells that will affect parts of Mexico’s Pacific coast Tuesday and parts of southern Baja California starting Tuesday night and into Thursday. The swells are likely to cause dangerous surf and rip current conditions.
For us in So Cal, only the most extreme South facing breaks will see any of this energy. It will come up the line practically sideways and be good for waist to chest high surf at only spots in the OC and a few other select breaks.
Wednesday morning should be pretty good as the that 16-18 second, long interval energy, from a 200 degree angle puts the better South facing breaks into the shoulder to head high range.
We’ll also see some unseasonal, NW ground swell roll in from a 300-305 degree angle. This won’t amount to more than waist high plus sets but everything helps.
The tide is super shallow early so don’t pull into any real brown barrels unless you have a legit shot at making it…
2013-06-26 Wed 05:44 AM Sunrise
2013-06-26 Wed 06:28 AM -1.07 feet Low Tide
2013-06-26 Wed 09:31 AM Moonset
2013-06-26 Wed 01:02 PM 4.58 feet High Tide
2013-06-26 Wed 06:18 PM 1.84 feet Low Tide
2013-06-26 Wed 08:09 PM Sunset
2013-06-26 Wed 10:47 PM Moonrise
The conditions look okay with light and variable breezes out of the East going 1-3 MPH until 10 and then the winds will remain fairly mild out of the West through the afternoon. The air temp will jump up to a balmy 76 degrees.
Thursday morning should be another good day for waves for So Cal. That SW energy from a 200 degree angle will back down a hair but still carry plenty of punch and keep the top South facing beaches in the shoulder to head high zone.
The NW energy will kick it up a notch and deliver waist to chest high sets to the best West facing breaks.
THe extreme South facing breaks should get a glancing blow from the Tropical Storm/Hurricane energy with some waist to maybe chest high sets.
Tide remains frightening low for the dawn patrol which will hinder the size and shape at many breaks.
2013-06-27 Thu 12:17 AM 5.66 feet High Tide
2013-06-27 Thu 05:44 AM Sunrise
2013-06-27 Thu 07:14 AM -0.54 feet Low Tide
2013-06-27 Thu 10:37 AM Moonset
2013-06-27 Thu 01:55 PM 4.69 feet High Tide
2013-06-27 Thu 07:28 PM 1.94 feet Low Tide
2013-06-27 Thu 08:09 PM Sunset
2013-06-27 Thu 11:25 PM Moonrise
The conditions look fine with variable breezes out of the East in the 1-4 MPH zone until 10 and only increase up to 9 MPH in the afternoon. The air temp will remain a nearly tropical 78 degrees on the sand.
By Friday morning all energy will be backing down through the day. The NW swell will only be good for waist high plus sets and the SW energy will dip in size and consistency through the day, but should still dish up some chest high plus sets, (on the right tee), for the better spots.
2013-06-28 Fri 01:16 AM 4.87 feet High Tide
2013-06-28 Fri 05:45 AM Sunrise
2013-06-28 Fri 08:02 AM 0.07 feet Low Tide
2013-06-28 Fri 11:40 AM Moonset
2013-06-28 Fri 02:51 PM 4.80 feet High Tide
2013-06-28 Fri 08:09 PM Sunset
2013-06-28 Fri 08:51 PM 1.93 feet Low Tide
The conditions should be tolerable with variable breezes, out of the West, in the 2-3 MPH range until 10AM and up to 14 MPH out of the West until sundown. The air temp will remain a toasty 78 degrees.
For Saturday morning will be reliant upon inconsistent pulses out of the SW. The better breaks will see waist to maybe chest high sets.
2013-06-29 Sat 12:00 AM Moonrise
2013-06-29 Sat 02:25 AM 4.09 feet High Tide
2013-06-29 Sat 05:45 AM Sunrise
2013-06-29 Sat 08:53 AM 0.70 feet Low Tide
2013-06-29 Sat 12:41 PM Moonset
2013-06-29 Sat 03:48 PM 4.94 feet High Tide
2013-06-29 Sat 08:09 PM Sunset
2013-06-29 Sat 09:55 PM Last Quarter
2013-06-29 Sat 10:24 PM 1.72 feet Low Tide
The conditions should be okay with light and variable breezes in the 2-4 MPH range until 10AM and up to 12 MPH out of the West until sundown. The air temp will get up to 80 degrees.
For Sunday morning that SW energy will be the only show in town with inconsistent waist to chest high sets.
2013-06-30 Sun 12:34 AM Moonrise
2013-06-30 Sun 03:54 AM 3.47 feet High Tide
2013-06-30 Sun 05:46 AM Sunrise
2013-06-30 Sun 09:48 AM 1.27 feet Low Tide
2013-06-30 Sun 01:40 PM Moonset
2013-06-30 Sun 04:46 PM 5.10 feet High Tide
2013-06-30 Sun 08:09 PM Sunset
2013-06-30 Sun 11:51 PM 1.30 feet Low Tide
The conditions look fair with variable breezes, out of the SE/SSE, in the 3-7 MPH range until 10AM and up to 14 MPH out of the West until sundown. The air temp will remain around the 80 degree mark.
The current water temps are as follows – Newport 67 degrees, Huntington 69 degrees, the South Bay showed as 70 degrees, Santa Monica 67 degrees and Malibu 64 degrees.
I’ll be back on Wednesday with the next update!