Mark Brog


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HURRICANE WATCH: Tropical Storm Cristina is about 500 miles south-southeast of Manzanillo, Mexico and is moving toward the west-northwest with maximum sustained winds around 40 mph. So far there has not been a sustained concentration of rain and thunderstorms near the center. Once this occurs it will be a sign of intensification.

Cristina is expected to continue to move over warm water and these favorable conditions should allow her to become a hurricane, perhaps as early as Wednesday. As the storm grows in size and intensity it will produce large swells that will propagate toward the west coast of Mexico, causing a rough and dangerous surf in a couple of days.

Elsewhere, an area of disturbed weather about 1,000 miles to the southwest of the southern tip of Baja California, has some chance to become better organized during the next few days. The chance of development into a tropical system is low.


For Wednesday morning all swell will be ready to be toe tagged and hauled away. There should be some waist high + leftovers in the AM for the better West facing breaks, but keep your expectations low.

Super low tide early – 06:39 AM -0.45 feet Low Tide

2020-07-08 Wed 05:50 AM Sunrise
2020-07-08 Wed 06:39 AM -0.45 feet Low Tide
2020-07-08 Wed 09:11 AM Moonset
2020-07-08 Wed 01:24 PM 3.94 feet High Tide
2020-07-08 Wed 06:01 PM 2.59 feet Low Tide
2020-07-08 Wed 08:08 PM Sunset
2020-07-08 Wed 11:00 PM Moonrise

The conditions The conditions should be okay again, for spots that can handle a south wind, with 3-5 MPH breezes out of the SE/SSE until 10:00AM and 6-8 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 75 degrees.


For Thursday morning all of the aquatic Fireworks will be on the accelerated fizzle as the waves shrink back into the knee to waist high range.

Still low early – Thu 07:18 AM -0.01 feet Low Tide

2020-07-09 Thu 12:00 AM 5.28 feet High Tide
2020-07-09 Thu 05:50 AM Sunrise
2020-07-09 Thu 07:18 AM -0.01 feet Low Tide
2020-07-09 Thu 10:09 AM Moonset
2020-07-09 Thu 02:09 PM 3.97 feet High Tide
2020-07-09 Thu 06:58 PM 2.70 feet Low Tide
2020-07-09 Thu 08:07 PM Sunset
2020-07-09 Thu 11:31 PM Moonrise

The conditions should be okay early with 1-3 MPH breezes out of the South until 10:00AM and 5-8 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 74 degrees.


For Friday morning, barring an act of God, the surf will remain an anemic knee to waist high up and down the coast.

2020-07-10 Fri 12:43 AM 4.70 feet High Tide
2020-07-10 Fri 05:51 AM Sunrise
2020-07-10 Fri 07:57 AM 0.46 feet Low Tide
2020-07-10 Fri 11:06 AM Moonset
2020-07-10 Fri 02:57 PM 4.05 feet High Tide
2020-07-10 Fri 08:07 PM Sunset
2020-07-10 Fri 08:10 PM 2.74 feet Low Tide
2020-07-10 Fri 11:59 PM Moonrise

The conditions look passable early with with light, 2-3 MPH winds out of the SW until around 10:00AM and 6-9 MPH out of the S/SW in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 77 degrees.


For Saturday morning we’re in for more of the same with no swell of note, but we should see some fresh, super steep, Tropical energy come into play if the models are telling the truth.

2020-07-11 Sat 01:33 AM 4.08 feet High Tide
2020-07-11 Sat 05:51 AM Sunrise
2020-07-11 Sat 08:37 AM 0.94 feet Low Tide
2020-07-11 Sat 12:01 PM Moonset
2020-07-11 Sat 03:44 PM 4.19 feet High Tide
2020-07-11 Sat 08:07 PM Sunset
2020-07-11 Sat 09:41 PM 2.61 feet Low Tide

The conditions look fair early with 3-6 MPH variable breezes out of the South until noon and 7-9 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp climbs up to a daunting 81 degrees.


For Sunday morning, if everything goes well, we should see our first tangible signs of Tropical swell, as what should evolve into Hurricane Cristina, sends us some sidewinder, steeply angled energy from a stingy angle of 165 degrees and change. This will put the receptive South facing breaks into the shoulder high + range, (possibly bigger, but i’d rather not over promise… check back on Thursday).

This swell will wiggle its middle finger at most spots as it passes right on by. Only Baja Norte, a few spots in SD and select OC & San O’ spots will get a taste of this one.

2020-07-12 Sun 12:26 AM Moonrise
2020-07-12 Sun 02:41 AM 3.50 feet High Tide
2020-07-12 Sun 05:52 AM Sunrise
2020-07-12 Sun 09:19 AM 1.39 feet Low Tide
2020-07-12 Sun 12:55 PM Moonset
2020-07-12 Sun 04:30 PM 4.39 feet High Tide
2020-07-12 Sun 04:31 PM Last Quarter
2020-07-12 Sun 08:06 PM Sunset
2020-07-12 Sun 11:17 PM 2.25 feet Low Tide

The conditions look fair with 4-7 MPH breezes out of the S/SSE until noon and 6-9 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 80 degrees.


Water temps are as follows, (day of 4CAST update), Malibu 64 Santa Monica 67 South Bay 69 Huntington 67, Newport 67.

The next update will be on Thursday!

ABOUT THE SWELLMAGNET FORECAST – One of the most exciting–and yet most challenging–aspects of surfing is the sheer variety of waves and weather conditions that affect the entire surfing experience. Any surfer who is interested in going beyond the most basic level of surfing will have to develop the ability to interpret waves and environmental conditions. This is important for ensuring both a safe and enjoyable experience.

The main difficulty lies in predicting how exactly the ocean and the environment will behave at any given time. One day, you could be riding four-footers all day and the next, you might be facing a glasslike surface with nary a ripple. Conditions can change drastically from day-to-day and even within the space of a couple of hours. To avoid wasted time and unproductive trips to the surf, it is essential to have access to reliable information on surf conditions.

Sites such as offer up-to-the-minute surf reports that are essential to all California surfers. The company relies on an extensive network of surf cams and surf experts in order to monitor the precise surf conditions on any given day. All information is collated and analyzed by qualified surf specialists, with the resulting data being provided to the public via the Swellmagnet site.

Swellmagnet provides some of the best surf reports in the industry, with accurate and verifiable results gathered via an innovative system of surf condition monitors and detectors. Expert surf analysis is provided by the company’s team of highly experienced specialists, each with long years of experience monitoring and actually experiencing the full range of surf conditions. This combination of state-of-the-art technology and extensive practical experience ensures the highest quality and most accurate surf reports available.

For surfers who wish to take full advantage of the best that the California coast has to offer, the services provided by Swellmagnet are essential.

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