Don’t shoot the messenger… the immediate future for surf looks bleak!!!

HURRICANE WATCH Big Surf for Hawaii!

cane 4

Category 4 Hurricane Lane will approach and perhaps impact Hawaii later this week – 8/21/2018 11:00:00 AM

Hurricane Lane is currently centered around 450 miles southeast of Kona, Hawaii, and is moving west around 12 mph. The maximum sustained winds have increased to 150 mph, so Lane remains a Category 4 hurricane. Lane should remain a Category 4 hurricane later this morning then start to weaken later today and through the rest of the week as it starts to encounter increased wind shear and more stable air.

Lane is currently on an almost due westerly course. However, as high pressure to the north steering the hurricane starts to weaken, Lane will gradually move on a more west-northwest course later today then on a more northwesterly course Wednesday through Friday. This will bring the center of the hurricane to within about 150 miles from the coast of the Big Island of Hawaii, during Wednesday and Wednesday night. As a result, a tropical storm watch could be issued for parts of and perhaps all of the Hawaiian Islands within the next day or two.

Large swells generated by Lane will create rough and dangerous surf, mostly over south- and east-facing coastal areas of the Big Island and the island of Maui starting during the next 24 hours. But then, there will be an increase in surf over all Hawaiian Islands later this week. That increase in surf will start to impact all of the islands due to the expected more northwest track. These swells will bring a rough and more dangerous surf to west- and southwest-facing coastal areas later this week and through the weekend. All residents and interests on the Hawaiian Islands should closely monitor the movement of Lane.

Future tropical development is not expected across the rest of the Central and all of the Eastern Pacific Basin through at least Saturday of this weekend.

For Wednesday morning there’s nothing tangible in the books. Knee to waist high surf everywhere. The best bet would be to find a swiftly moving “tanker” ship and hope for some bonus ripples!

2018-08-22 Wed 02:23 AM 0.20 feet Low Tide
2018-08-22 Wed 02:54 AM Moonset
2018-08-22 Wed 06:20 AM Sunrise
2018-08-22 Wed 08:57 AM 3.96 feet High Tide
2018-08-22 Wed 01:44 PM 2.48 feet Low Tide
2018-08-22 Wed 05:21 PM Moonrise
2018-08-22 Wed 07:32 PM Sunset
2018-08-22 Wed 07:50 PM 5.57 feet High Tide

The conditions look decent with SW winds in the 1-4 MPH zone until noon and 9-11 MPH in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 75 degrees.

For Thursday morning the song remains the same with anemic knee to waist high surf everywhere.

2018-08-23 Thu 02:55 AM 0.04 feet Low Tide
2018-08-23 Thu 03:45 AM Moonset
2018-08-23 Thu 06:21 AM Sunrise
2018-08-23 Thu 09:23 AM 4.10 feet High Tide
2018-08-23 Thu 02:18 PM 2.28 feet Low Tide
2018-08-23 Thu 06:04 PM Moonrise
2018-08-23 Thu 07:31 PM Sunset
2018-08-23 Thu 08:24 PM 5.73 feet High Tide

The conditions look passable with variable S/SW breezes at 2-5 MPH until noon and 8-11 MPH winds out of the SW in the afternoon. The air holds at 75 degrees.

For Friday morning there will be no discernible differences with continued, feeble, knee to waist high surf!

2018-08-24 Fri 03:24 AM -0.04 feet Low Tide
2018-08-24 Fri 04:38 AM Moonset
2018-08-24 Fri 06:22 AM Sunrise
2018-08-24 Fri 09:46 AM 4.22 feet High Tide
2018-08-24 Fri 02:50 PM 2.08 feet Low Tide
2018-08-24 Fri 06:44 PM Moonrise
2018-08-24 Fri 07:29 PM Sunset
2018-08-24 Fri 08:56 PM 5.82 feet High Tide

The conditions look okay with variable 2-5 MPH Southerly breezes until noon and 7-9 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 76 degrees.

For Saturday morning we will see more of the same with knee to waist high surf.

2018-08-25 Sat 03:50 AM -0.06 feet Low Tide
2018-08-25 Sat 05:32 AM Moonset
2018-08-25 Sat 06:22 AM Sunrise
2018-08-25 Sat 10:09 AM 4.35 feet High Tide
2018-08-25 Sat 03:20 PM 1.90 feet Low Tide
2018-08-25 Sat 07:20 PM Moonrise
2018-08-25 Sat 07:28 PM Sunset
2018-08-25 Sat 09:27 PM 5.83 feet High Tide

The conditions look fair with variable 2-5 MPH breezes out of the South until noon and 7-10 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp holds at 76 degrees.

For Sunday morning we’ll remain in the knee to waist high zone.

2018-08-26 Sun 04:16 AM -0.01 feet Low Tide
2018-08-26 Sun 04:58 AM Full Moon
2018-08-26 Sun 06:23 AM Sunrise
2018-08-26 Sun 06:27 AM Moonset
2018-08-26 Sun 10:32 AM 4.47 feet High Tide
2018-08-26 Sun 03:52 PM 1.75 feet Low Tide
2018-08-26 Sun 07:27 PM Sunset
2018-08-26 Sun 07:54 PM Moonrise
2018-08-26 Sun 09:58 PM 5.74 feet High Tide

The conditions look to be okay early with 2-6 MPH Southerly breezes until noon and 8-11 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air tops out at 77 degrees.

Water temps are still nice and toasty! (day of 4CAST update) and are as follows: Malibu 70, Santa Monica 74 South Bay 76, Huntington 69, Newport 72.

The next 4CAST will be posted on Thursday!

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