SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA SURF FORECAST UPDATED on 7-7-2019
HURRICANE WATCH: Tropical Storm Cosme remains weak over open waters
Tropical Storm Cosme is located about 655 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja California. Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph with gusts to 50 mph. The storm is moving toward the northwest at 9 mph.
Cosme is moving into an area with water temperatures that are marginal for tropical development, as well as unfavorable wind shear and dry air. Cosme has very little convection associated with it and the low-level center has been exposed for several hours, signifying that the system is likely not intensifying.
As Cosme tracks farther to the north and west, it will continue to move into progressively cooler water and higher wind shear, which will lead to further weakening and eventual dissipation early this coming week.
Cosme will not directly impact any land. However, large waves and rough surf will occur along coastal areas of Baja California and Southern California, over the next several days.
Meanwhile, the remnants of Barbara will pass just to the south of Hawaii early this week, bringing a period of heavy showers and gusty winds. There will also be increased surf and rip currents on the east-facing beaches.
For Monday morning we will chest to shoulder high surf out of the SW from 200-210 degrees with 18-19 second intervals. The top South facing breaks will be the best call, but there is enough West in this swell to get into the beaches with a peek at the SW.
2019-07-08 Mon 12:11 AM Moonset
2019-07-08 Mon 01:56 AM 4.76 feet High Tide
2019-07-08 Mon 05:49 AM Sunrise
2019-07-08 Mon 08:48 AM 0.19 feet Low Tide
2019-07-08 Mon 12:21 PM Moonrise
2019-07-08 Mon 03:46 PM 4.82 feet High Tide
2019-07-08 Mon 08:08 PM Sunset
2019-07-08 Mon 09:48 PM 1.97 feet Low Tide
The conditions look fair with variable 4-5 MPH winds out of the SE/SSE until noon and then 6-10 MPH out of the West in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 69 degrees and there’s a 10% chance of rain.
For Tuesday morning that SW swell will hold and deliver chest to shoulder high sets for the best South facing break from 210 degrees with 16-17 second intervals.
2019-07-09 Tue 12:46 AM Moonset
2019-07-09 Tue 03:18 AM 4.06 feet High Tide
2019-07-09 Tue 03:56 AM First Quarter
2019-07-09 Tue 05:50 AM Sunrise
2019-07-09 Tue 09:43 AM 0.74 feet Low Tide
2019-07-09 Tue 01:26 PM Moonrise
2019-07-09 Tue 04:41 PM 5.15 feet High Tide
2019-07-09 Tue 08:08 PM Sunset
2019-07-09 Tue 11:18 PM 1.47 feet Low Tide
The conditions look fair with 2-6 MPH winds out of the S/SSE until noon and then 7-9 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp remains at 69 degrees and there’s a 10% chance of rain.
For Wednesday morning this swell will be on a slow fade but dish up waist to chest high sets in the AM and get less consistent and smaller as the day wears on.
2019-07-10 Wed 01:20 AM Moonset
2019-07-10 Wed 04:53 AM 3.60 feet High Tide
2019-07-10 Wed 05:50 AM Sunrise
2019-07-10 Wed 10:40 AM 1.25 feet Low Tide
2019-07-10 Wed 02:30 PM Moonrise
2019-07-10 Wed 05:33 PM 5.49 feet High Tide
2019-07-10 Wed 08:07 PM Sunset
The conditions look fair with variable 1-6 MPH winds until noon and then 7-10 MPH out of the West in the afternoon. The air temp bumps up to 71 degrees and there’s a 10% chance of rain.
For Thursday morning we will see fading waist high + SW swell from 210-215 degrees with 14-15 second intervals for the most exposed South facing beaches.
2019-07-11 Thu 12:33 AM 0.84 feet Low Tide
2019-07-11 Thu 01:55 AM Moonset
2019-07-11 Thu 05:51 AM Sunrise
2019-07-11 Thu 06:27 AM 3.44 feet High Tide
2019-07-11 Thu 11:37 AM 1.65 feet Low Tide
2019-07-11 Thu 03:32 PM Moonrise
2019-07-11 Thu 06:22 PM 5.79 feet High Tide
2019-07-11 Thu 08:07 PM Sunset
The conditions look okay with 1-6 MPH variable winds out of the South until noon and then 7-10 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp tops out 71 degrees.
For Friday morning we will see smaller surf as the Southerly energy wanes and we get a slight boost for the West facing beaches with some less than thrilling NW wind swell from 310 + degrees and 10 second intervals. Looks like waist high + for the exposed beaches.
2019-07-12 Fri 01:33 AM 0.23 feet Low Tide
2019-07-12 Fri 02:32 AM Moonset
2019-07-12 Fri 05:51 AM Sunrise
2019-07-12 Fri 07:45 AM 3.50 feet High Tide
2019-07-12 Fri 12:32 PM 1.95 feet Low Tide
2019-07-12 Fri 04:34 PM Moonrise
2019-07-12 Fri 07:06 PM 6.02 feet High Tide
2019-07-12 Fri 08:07 PM Sunset
The conditions look about the same with variable 1-6 MPH winds out of the South until noon and then 7-11 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp tops out 74 degrees and there’s a 10% chance of rain.
Water temps are as follows, (day of 4CAST update) and are as follows: Malibu 66 Santa Monica 68 South Bay 71, Huntington 65, Newport 65.
The next 4Cast will be updated on Tuesday.
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