SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA SURF FORECAST UPDATED on 6-30-2019
HURRICANE WATCH: Tropical Storm Barbara has formed and is located about 850 miles to the south of the southern tip of Baja California. Movement is to the west-northwest at 16 mph with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph with gusts to 50 mph.
Barbara is located within an area of favorable environmental conditions including light wind shear and warm water temperature. As a result, continued strengthening is expected and Barbara is expected to become a hurricane by the middle of the week. A continued track to the west-northwest through the coming week will keep the storm well away from significant land masses. While there can be a small increase in surf along the coast of southwestern Mexico through Tuesday, impacts will be small. By next weekend, the system is expected to move into the Central Pacific basin. It is not out of the question that this will bring impacts to Hawaii early the following week, though the confidence in the track and intensity that far in the future remains low.
Also, another area of disturbed weather is expected to form to the south of Mexico during the end of the upcoming week. Conditions are expected to be conducive for tropical development and this too may become a tropical storm sometime around next weekend.
For Monday morning we will see some fresh South swell start to build in later in the day. It will be inconsistent but have long interval properties to it moving in from 205-211 degrees with 20 second intervals.
Small, rather insignificant NW wind swell will remain in the mix with waist high surf for the better West facing breaks from a 310 degree angle and 7-8 second intervals.
2019-07-01 Mon 03:29 AM -0.76 feet Low Tide
2019-07-01 Mon 04:43 AM Moonrise
2019-07-01 Mon 05:46 AM Sunrise
2019-07-01 Mon 09:55 AM 3.76 feet High Tide
2019-07-01 Mon 02:30 PM 2.04 feet Low Tide
2019-07-01 Mon 07:19 PM Moonset
2019-07-01 Mon 08:09 PM Sunset
2019-07-01 Mon 08:51 PM 6.62 feet High Tide
The conditions look okay with 2-6 MPH variable winds out of the South until noon and then 8-10 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp tops out 71 degrees and there’s a 10% chance of rain.
For Tuesday morning we will see that SW swell kick into gear with chest to shoulder high sets at the standout breaks in the OC and San O’ areas and chest to chest high + at the less exposed SW beaches. The swell will have some muscle to it as it rolls in from 205-210 degrees with 18 + second intervals but looks like it will be a bit inconsistent.
Smallish NW wind swell will remain in the mix with waist high surf for the better West facing breaks from a 310 degree angle and 7-8 second intervals.
2019-07-02 Tue 04:09 AM -1.13 feet Low Tide
2019-07-02 Tue 05:38 AM Moonrise
2019-07-02 Tue 05:46 AM Sunrise
2019-07-02 Tue 10:39 AM 3.88 feet High Tide
2019-07-02 Tue 12:17 PM New Moon
2019-07-02 Tue 03:14 PM 2.06 feet Low Tide
2019-07-02 Tue 08:09 PM Sunset
2019-07-02 Tue 08:21 PM Moonset
2019-07-02 Tue 09:32 PM 6.79 feet High Tide
The conditions look fair with 2-5 MPH 5-8 winds out of the SE/SSE until noon and then 5-8 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp tops out 72 degrees and there’s a 10% chance of rain.
For Wednesday morning holds a little promise as that SW swell continues to drum up chest high + sets from 205-210 degrees with 17-18 second intervals but looks like it will be a bit inconsistent.
NW wind swell will remain in the mix with knee to waist high surf for the better West facing breaks from a 310 degree angle and 7-8 second intervals.
2019-07-03 Wed 04:51 AM -1.32 feet Low Tide
2019-07-03 Wed 05:47 AM Sunrise
2019-07-03 Wed 06:40 AM Moonrise
2019-07-03 Wed 11:24 AM 3.97 feet High Tide
2019-07-03 Wed 04:00 PM 2.08 feet Low Tide
2019-07-03 Wed 08:09 PM Sunset
2019-07-03 Wed 09:18 PM Moonset
2019-07-03 Wed 10:16 PM 6.78 feet High Tide
The conditions look okay with 7-10 MPH winds out of the SE/SSE until noon and then 8-10 MPH out of the West in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 70 degrees and there’s a 10% chance of rain.
For Thursday morning we will dip into the waist to chest high zone for the better South facing breaks as that mediocre swell continues to dish up a little surf from 210-215 degrees with 15-16 second intervals.
NW wind swell will remain in the mix with waist high surf for the better West facing breaks from a 310 degree angle and 7 second intervals.
2019-07-04 Thu 05:35 AM -1.33 feet Low Tide
2019-07-04 Thu 05:47 AM Sunrise
2019-07-04 Thu 07:47 AM Moonrise
2019-07-04 Thu 12:11 PM 4.06 feet High Tide
2019-07-04 Thu 04:51 PM 2.13 feet Low Tide
2019-07-04 Thu 08:09 PM Sunset
2019-07-04 Thu 10:09 PM Moonset
2019-07-04 Thu 11:03 PM 6.56 feet High Tide
The conditions look pretty good with 4-8 MPH winds out of the SE/SSE until 11:00AM and then 6-10 MPH out of the West in the afternoon. The air temp holds at 70 degrees and there’s a 10% chance of rain.
For Friday morning we will see sporadic pulses out of the South in the waist high + range and some tiny NW wind swell.
* There is a chance for a little Hurricane energy but I don’t want to promise anything and not deliver…. stay tuned.
2019-07-05 Fri 05:48 AM Sunrise
2019-07-05 Fri 06:20 AM -1.16 feet Low Tide
2019-07-05 Fri 08:57 AM Moonrise
2019-07-05 Fri 01:01 PM 4.16 feet High Tide
2019-07-05 Fri 05:48 PM 2.20 feet Low Tide
2019-07-05 Fri 08:08 PM Sunset
2019-07-05 Fri 10:54 PM Moonset
2019-07-05 Fri 11:54 PM 6.12 feet High Tide
The conditions look fair with 3-6 MPH winds out of the SE/SSE until noon and then 8-10 MPH out of the West in the afternoon. The air temp remains at 70 degrees and there’s a 10% chance of rain.
Water temps are as follows, (day of 4CAST update) and are as follows: Malibu 63 Santa Monica 65 South Bay 69, Huntington 64, Newport 65.
The next 4Cast will be updated on Tuesday.
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