SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA SURF FORECAST UPDATED 7-21-16
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Hurricane update: Updated 7-21-16 – Darby continues to track westward across the central Pacific and has recently strengthened as it now has sustained winds of 65 mph. The storm is located 645 miles to the east of Hilo, Hawaii, and continues to move to the west-southwest at 15 mph. Darby is expected to maintain its strength over the next few days, with only minor fluctuations in its maximum sustained wind speed at times.
The surf will become increasingly rough around the Hawaiian Islands with an increasing risk for dangerous rip currents as Darby approaches over the next few days, especially for the beaches with eastward exposure. On Saturday, Darby will get close to the Big Island of Hawaii before taking a more northward track. It will be close enough that there will be an increase in rains on the Big Island and possibly a period of stronger winds as well later Saturday into Sunday, depending on how close Darby gets to the Big Island.
Through Sunday into Monday, Molokai, Maui and Oahu will likely endure some effects from Darby, but their severity will depend on the exact track and intensity of the storm. At this point, it appears the storm will track far enough north that an increase in winds will not be a factor for these islands. However, there will still be rough surf and rip currents produced by Darby. In addition, locally heavy downpours will be possible at this time as some rain bands from Darby can impact these islands. Darby should make enough of a northward turn by early next week that the only impacts on Kauai would be rough surf, higher waves and increased rip currents.
Tropical Storm Estelle is over 1,100 miles west of the southern tip of Baja California. Estelle will continue to weaken over the next few days as it encounters cooler waters. Estelle will become post-tropical by Saturday. Estelle will stay far away from land during this time, and the only effects to land will be an increase in surf and increased rip current risk along the Mexican and California coastlines
Elsewhere, two tropical waves to the southeast of Tropical Storm Estelle are drifting westward. One is around 900 miles to the south-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California. This area will become gradually more organized over the next few days as it moves off to the west-northwest. The second area is several hundred miles to the south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico. This system is likely to become a tropical depression over the next 24-48 hours as it tracks off to the northwest around 10 mph.
Shark Update: 7-20-16 – They finally got rid of the Whale – Giant whale carcass cut up, moved from beach to landfill so I’m sure the sharks will remain excited – Here’s the whole story WHALE
For Sunday morning looks smaller as both the NW wind swell and SW energy taper off into the waist high plus zone, (with a few larger sets at the top South facing beaches).
2016-07-24 Sun 12:22 AM 5.11 feet High Tide
2016-07-24 Sun 06:00 AM Sunrise
2016-07-24 Sun 07:09 AM 0.21 feet Low Tide
2016-07-24 Sun 10:55 AM Moonset
2016-07-24 Sun 01:46 PM 4.76 feet High Tide
2016-07-24 Sun 07:37 PM 1.91 feet Low Tide
2016-07-24 Sun 08:00 PM Sunset
2016-07-24 Sun 11:17 PM Moonrise
The conditions look good with SE/SSE winds in the 3-10 MPH range until noon and 9-12 out of the West in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 79 degrees.
For Monday we’re looking at fairly mall surf with waist high waves up and down the coast with a few, inconsistent larger set waves for the better South facing beaches.
2016-07-25 Mon 01:21 AM 4.47 feet High Tide
2016-07-25 Mon 06:00 AM Sunrise
2016-07-25 Mon 07:53 AM 0.70 feet Low Tide
2016-07-25 Mon 11:59 AM Moonset
2016-07-25 Mon 02:39 PM 4.95 feet High Tide
2016-07-25 Mon 07:59 PM Sunset
2016-07-25 Mon 09:00 PM 1.77 feet Low Tide
2016-07-25 Mon 11:56 PM Moonrise
The conditions look fair early with variable winds out of the SE/SSE in the 2-4 MPH range until 10AM and 6-11 out of the West in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 78 degrees.
Tuesday looks pretty feeble with knee to waist high surf everywhere.
2016-07-26 Tue 02:39 AM 3.84 feet High Tide
2016-07-26 Tue 06:01 AM Sunrise
2016-07-26 Tue 08:45 AM 1.20 feet Low Tide
2016-07-26 Tue 01:04 PM Moonset
2016-07-26 Tue 03:38 PM 5.19 feet High Tide
2016-07-26 Tue 04:02 PM Last Quarter
2016-07-26 Tue 07:59 PM Sunset
2016-07-26 Tue 10:33 PM 1.41 feet Low Tide
The conditions look fair early with variable winds in the 1-2 MPH range until 10AM and 7-12 out of the West in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 78 degrees.
Water Temps: are as follows – Malibu 63, Santa Monica 71, Hermosa 72, Huntington 68 and Newport 66 degrees.
I will be back On Sunday with the next update!
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The main difficulty lies in predicting how exactly the ocean and the environment will behave at any given time. One day, you could be riding four-footers all day and the next, you might be facing a glasslike surface with nary a ripple. Conditions can change drastically from day-to-day and even within the space of a couple of hours. To avoid wasted time and unproductive trips to the surf, it is essential to have access to reliable information on surf conditions.
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