Today’s Slideshow is courtesy of David Waters – South Bay Archives
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Okay, Mother Nature finally opened up the door for us! After a predominately surf starved Winter the jetstream finally dropped down far enough to allow more active storm development and send waves directly into our swell window. Even though February is almost in the rear view mirror, it appears as if we’ll see a late season surge and should have some thumping swells into at least early March.

With all these systems moving through the winds can sometimes be unpredictable so stay on your toes if you want get some good waves!

Tuesday morning looks pretty small again with continued, tiny, 14-16 second interval swell for the best West facing breaks and small pulses of SW energy. That will result in inconsistent waist high plus sets.

2014-02-25 Tue 03:18 AM Moonrise
2014-02-25 Tue 05:37 AM 5.60 feet High Tide
2014-02-25 Tue 06:27 AM Sunrise
2014-02-25 Tue 12:48 PM -0.72 feet Low Tide
2014-02-25 Tue 02:04 PM Moonset
2014-02-25 Tue 05:47 PM Sunset
2014-02-25 Tue 07:14 PM 3.93 feet High Tide

The conditions look okay with variable breezes out of the E/SE in the 1-3 MPH range until 11AM and 6-9 MPH winds out of the West in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 66 degrees.

By Wednesday morning we’ll start to see a series of NW swells roll in. Things will start off on the slow side early in the AM, with waist high plus sets at first light, but the new energy will pulse in throughout the day with 12-14 second intervals from a Westerly 275-285 degree angle. The top spots should be head high plus by days end.

2014-02-26 Wed 12:19 AM 1.55 feet Low Tide
2014-02-26 Wed 04:10 AM Moonrise
2014-02-26 Wed 06:26 AM Sunrise
2014-02-26 Wed 06:32 AM 5.99 feet High Tide
2014-02-26 Wed 01:30 PM -1.06 feet Low Tide
2014-02-26 Wed 03:12 PM Moonset
2014-02-26 Wed 05:47 PM Sunset
2014-02-26 Wed 07:50 PM 4.39 feet High Tide

The conditions look a little iffy, but should be okay for spots that can handle a SE wind. The models are calling for S/SE winds in the 2-6 MPH range until 11AM and 6-8 MPH in the afternoon. There is a 20% chance of rain and the air temp tops out at 63 degrees.

By Thursday morning that same swell should be in full swing with shoulder to head high plus sets for the best West facing breaks. The angle will continue to have quite a bit of West in it with a 275-285 degree angle, which in turn means that any spot with a peek at the West should see at least a little action.

2014-02-27 Thu 01:12 AM 1.03 feet Low Tide
2014-02-27 Thu 04:57 AM Moonrise
2014-02-27 Thu 06:25 AM Sunrise
2014-02-27 Thu 07:22 AM 6.22 feet High Tide
2014-02-27 Thu 02:08 PM -1.21 feet Low Tide
2014-02-27 Thu 04:21 PM Moonset
2014-02-27 Thu 05:48 PM Sunset
2014-02-27 Thu 08:25 PM 4.81 feet High Tide

The conditions look okay on paper with variable winds out of the SE/SSE in the 4-13 MPH range all day long. There is a 30% chance of rain and the air temp drops down to 63 degrees.

Friday morning should have plenty of size with shoulder to head high plus sets, but “Victory at Sea” type conditions will likely prevail. The energy will be a combination of leftover, 275 degree angled West swell, with 12 second intervals, and 6-8 second, short interval SW swell, from a 225 degree angle.

2014-02-28 Fri 02:00 AM 0.57 feet Low Tide
2014-02-28 Fri 05:41 AM Moonrise
2014-02-28 Fri 06:23 AM Sunrise
2014-02-28 Fri 08:10 AM 6.25 feet High Tide
2014-02-28 Fri 02:46 PM -1.14 feet Low Tide
2014-02-28 Fri 05:31 PM Moonset
2014-02-28 Fri 05:49 PM Sunset
2014-02-28 Fri 09:00 PM 5.15 feet High Tide

The conditions look to get sloppy early with brisk SE winds, in the 10-20 MPH zone at first light, and according to the wind models, those will turn Westerly, jump up into the mid 20’s around 8AM, and continue to howl through the day. There is an 80% chance of rain air temp tops out at 64 degrees.

Saturday morning should be PUMPING as a larger burst of West swell, (270 degrees with 14-16 second intervals), moves in and teams up with a significant amount of 8-10 second interval SW energy, (from 225 degrees). This will put the top spots into the Overhead to double overhead zone.

There are a couple things that are of noteworthy concern.

1. Will the sea surface have ample time to clean up overnight? Hopefully, because the winds are slated to blow out of the E/SE all day long on Saturday!

2. With what’s expected to be the first legitimate rainstorm in eons, how poisonous will the water be as every chemical, bacteria, fecal matter and trash roar into our beloved Pacific Ocean?

I know many people ignore the runoff warning, (myself included), sometimes, but it is recommended to stay out of the water for at least 72 hours after any significant rainfall.

If you do paddle be sure to wear ear plugs, (rinse ears with an alcohol solution post surf), and clear out your nose with a netti pot or neil med flush bottle. There will be nasty s%$t floating around out there so make sure it’s epic if you’re going to roll the dice.

2014-03-01 Sat 12:02 AM New Moon
2014-03-01 Sat 02:48 AM 0.23 feet Low Tide
2014-03-01 Sat 06:22 AM Sunrise
2014-03-01 Sat 06:22 AM Moonrise
2014-03-01 Sat 08:55 AM 6.04 feet High Tide
2014-03-01 Sat 03:22 PM -0.89 feet Low Tide
2014-03-01 Sat 05:50 PM Sunset
2014-03-01 Sat 06:39 PM Moonset
2014-03-01 Sat 09:36 PM 5.38 feet High Tide

The conditions look interesting with E/SE breezes in the 5-15 MPH zone from dawn to dusk. There’s a 70% chance of rain and the air temp tops out at 61 degrees.

Sunday morning looks like another sizable day for waves with the top breaks pulling in overhead to nearly double overhead sets. It will once again be a combo of 270 degree West swell and 8-10 second SW wind swell from 220-225 degrees.

2014-03-02 Sun 03:34 AM 0.05 feet Low Tide
2014-03-02 Sun 06:21 AM Sunrise
2014-03-02 Sun 07:02 AM Moonrise
2014-03-02 Sun 09:41 AM 5.61 feet High Tide
2014-03-02 Sun 03:58 PM -0.46 feet Low Tide
2014-03-02 Sun 05:51 PM Sunset
2014-03-02 Sun 07:45 PM Moonset
2014-03-02 Sun 10:13 PM 5.46 feet High Tide

The conditions should be good, with Easterly winds in the 4-7 MPH range until around 11AM and those will shift to a Westerly direction, but remain fairly mild until dark. The air temp tops out at 63 degrees and there’s only a 10% chance of rain.

The current water temps Newport 60 degrees, Huntington 61 degrees, the South Bay showed as 61 degrees, Santa Monica 61 degrees and Malibu 59 degrees.

I’ll be back on Wednesday with the next update!