SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA SURF FORECAST UPDATED 10-15-15
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HURRICANE WATCH: A new tropical depression has formed in the eastern Pacific Basin and this one has the potential to be a BIG ONE! Tropical Depression 19-E is over 1,000 miles to the southwest of the southern tip of Baja California. The depression will track westward over warm waters and steadily strengthen over the next few days, but well away from land. It is expected to become a tropical storm later today or tonight; it will be named Olaf.
Meanwhile, Tropical Depression Nora continues to weaken in the central Pacific to the south of Hawaii. Nora’s sustained winds are down to 30 mph and the storm will continue to slowly loose strength over the next 24 hours.
It had to end at some point but what a great kick off to the Winter swell season. 6 consecutive days of good waves! Usually you’re lucky to string 2 days together! Stay on your toes though, it looks like we have tons of surf in the que so stay tuned and stay tubed!
By Friday things will slow down dramatically as all energy backs down and we’ll become dependent on inconsistent sets out of the SW in the waist high plus zone.
2015-10-16 Fri 04:53 AM 2.16 feet Low Tide
2015-10-16 Fri 06:59 AM Sunrise
2015-10-16 Fri 10:12 AM Moonrise
2015-10-16 Fri 11:10 AM 5.38 feet High Tide
2015-10-16 Fri 06:18 PM 0.67 feet Low Tide
2015-10-16 Fri 06:18 PM Sunset
2015-10-16 Fri 08:59 PM Moonset
The conditions look fair with variable breezes in the 1-5 MPH zone until noon and 8-10 MPH out of the West in the afternoon. The air temp bumps up to 78 degrees.
Saturday morning looks like a good day to knock out those chores and take care of the things you blew off during this last great week of waves! We’re not anticipating much more than knee to waist high surf most everywhere with a few sporadic sets out of the SW.
2015-10-17 Sat 12:40 AM 3.66 feet High Tide
2015-10-17 Sat 05:21 AM 2.48 feet Low Tide
2015-10-17 Sat 07:00 AM Sunrise
2015-10-17 Sat 11:05 AM Moonrise
2015-10-17 Sat 11:44 AM 5.20 feet High Tide
2015-10-17 Sat 06:17 PM Sunset
2015-10-17 Sat 07:11 PM 0.82 feet Low Tide
2015-10-17 Sat 09:45 PM Moonset
The conditions look fair with variable breezes in the 2-5 MPH zone until 11AM and 7-9 MPH out of the West in the afternoon. The air temp holds at 78 degrees.
Sunday starts off small with continued knee to waist high surf but a new, NW, medium interval swell will fill in later in the day. This one has a pretty good angle of 285-295 degrees and should put the most exposed West facing breaks into the shoulder to head high range with some bigger sets.
2015-10-18 Sun 01:50 AM 3.43 feet High Tide
2015-10-18 Sun 05:57 AM 2.80 feet Low Tide
2015-10-18 Sun 07:01 AM Sunrise
2015-10-18 Sun 11:58 AM Moonrise
2015-10-18 Sun 12:28 PM 4.97 feet High Tide
2015-10-18 Sun 06:16 PM Sunset
2015-10-18 Sun 08:18 PM 0.92 feet Low Tide
2015-10-18 Sun 10:37 PM Moonset
The conditions look fair with variable breezes out of the E/SE in the 6-9 MPH zone until noon and 6-9 MPH out of the West in the afternoon. The air temp backs down to a still toasty 76 degrees.
Monday has potential to be good as that aforementioned NW swell peaks in the AM, (from that same 285-295 degree angle), and dished up chest to head high sets with some larger sets at the top West facing beaches.
Coupled with that will be some fresh 16-18 second ground swell out of the SW from a 215-220 degree angle. This swell should send waist to chest high plus sets to the South facing breaks and it has enough West in the direction to pay a visit to any beach with a sniff of the South.
The tides change very little so what you see is pretty much what you get!
2015-10-19 Mon 03:28 AM 3.40 feet High Tide
2015-10-19 Mon 07:00 AM 3.09 feet Low Tide
2015-10-19 Mon 07:02 AM Sunrise
2015-10-19 Mon 12:48 PM Moonrise
2015-10-19 Mon 01:33 PM 4.72 feet High Tide
2015-10-19 Mon 06:15 PM Sunset
2015-10-19 Mon 09:35 PM 0.91 feet Low Tide
2015-10-19 Mon 11:32 PM Moonset
The conditions look similar to those of Sunday with E/SE breezes in the 5-8 MPH zone until noon and 9-11 MPH out of the West in the afternoon. The air temp holds at 76 degrees.
Tuesday looks smaller, but should be another fun morning for waves, as all energy backs down through the day. We should still see some inconsistent, waist to chest high sets out of the SW and fading NW energy in the chest high plus range through the AM.
2015-10-20 Tue 04:59 AM 3.64 feet High Tide
2015-10-20 Tue 07:03 AM Sunrise
2015-10-20 Tue 09:03 AM 3.18 feet Low Tide
2015-10-20 Tue 01:32 PM First Quarter
2015-10-20 Tue 01:36 PM Moonrise
2015-10-20 Tue 03:05 PM 4.57 feet High Tide
2015-10-20 Tue 06:14 PM Sunset
2015-10-20 Tue 10:46 PM 0.77 feet Low Tide
The conditions look a little iffy with the wind models calling for variable onshore breezes in the 1-6 MPH zone until noon and 7-9 MPH out of the West in the afternoon. The onshore push may be a miscalculation from the wind model. From what I can tell, high pressure should be building in and Santa Ana conditions may take over! The air temp tops out at 84 degrees.
The current water temps Newport 71 degrees, Huntington 73 degrees, the South Bay showed as 75 degrees, Santa Monica 73 degrees and Malibu 72 degrees.
I’ll be back on Friday with the next update!