Today’s Slideshow is courtesy of Jeff Bell South Bay archives!
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA SURF FORECAST UPDATED 10-17-14
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HURRICANE WATCH October 17th, 2014 – In the east Pacific Basin, a cluster of showers and thunderstorms just south of the southern coast of Mexico may organize into a depression later today or tonight as it slowly moves north-northwestward. Heavy rainfall will target the southwestern Mexican coast and could cause flooding and mudslides over the next couple of days.
Tropical Storm Ana is about 250 miles south of Hilo on the Big Island of Hawaii. Ana is moving to the northwest over warm water and Ana could strengthen into a hurricane for a brief time late today into early Saturday. However, Ana is expected to gradually weaken through the weekend into early next week.
Wow, it’s been a pretty frustrating week trying to surf the South Bay… even today with shorter intervals and a nice offshore breeze it seemed like you needed to make a deal with the devil to get a good corner out there.
Enough whining out of me already. The good news is that we’re looking at a weak to moderate EL Nino season at the very least and the Northern Hemisphere is already cracking some skulls. It’s only mid October and we’ve already seen a steady parade of NW energy, (which is head & shoulders above last year at this time).
We need it to rain cats and dogs for a week and have a potent, triple overhead + NW swell roar into town, chew up the bottom and spit out some sand bars. Until then just smile, be quick to your feet and pull into as many closeout barrels as you can, (or hope for some extra peaky wind swell). This is my best, “glass half full” scenario! Have a great weekend!
For Saturday morning that same swell will continue to crank out chest high sets and then very slowly ease up into the afternoon. It looks like we should also see some 9-11 second interval, NW wind swell from a 290-295 degree angle. All said and done there should be a couple little waves, (hopefully peakier than last week), for the better West facing beaches.
2014-10-18 Sat 12:45 AM 0.97 feet Low Tide
2014-10-18 Sat 02:16 AM Moonrise
2014-10-18 Sat 07:01 AM Sunrise
2014-10-18 Sat 07:22 AM 4.61 feet High Tide
2014-10-18 Sat 01:13 PM 2.00 feet Low Tide
2014-10-18 Sat 03:26 PM Moonset
2014-10-18 Sat 06:16 PM Sunset
2014-10-18 Sat 06:57 PM 4.50 feet High Tide
The conditions look okay with variable winds in the 1-4 MPH zone until 11AM and then those get up to 10-13 MPH out of the West in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 71 degrees.
For Sunday morning, we’ll see continued short interval, NW wind swell in the chest high range. There are a few other swells bouncing around out there as well so hopefully we’ll see some peakier surf for the beach breaks!
Bigger swell will start to filter in on Monday and should be a few feet overhead for the best West facing beaches by Tuesday morning.
2014-10-19 Sun 01:18 AM 0.98 feet Low Tide
2014-10-19 Sun 03:10 AM Moonrise
2014-10-19 Sun 07:02 AM Sunrise
2014-10-19 Sun 07:45 AM 4.87 feet High Tide
2014-10-19 Sun 01:47 PM 1.55 feet Low Tide
2014-10-19 Sun 03:59 PM Moonset
2014-10-19 Sun 06:14 PM Sunset
2014-10-19 Sun 07:38 PM 4.61 feet High Tide
The conditions look okay with variable winds in the 1-5 MPH zone until noon and then those only get up to 6-8 MPH in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 72 degrees.
For Monday morning we’ll start off with a smaller dose of wind swell, but even that should be good for some waist to chest high peaks.
The more exciting news is that some fresh, 16-17 second interval NW energy will push down the line from a 300 degree angle and a few scout sets should start showing up late morning and continue until sundown.
2014-10-20 Mon 01:47 AM 1.03 feet Low Tide
2014-10-20 Mon 04:03 AM Moonrise
2014-10-20 Mon 07:03 AM Sunrise
2014-10-20 Mon 08:07 AM 5.13 feet High Tide
2014-10-20 Mon 02:19 PM 1.12 feet Low Tide
2014-10-20 Mon 04:31 PM Moonset
2014-10-20 Mon 06:13 PM Sunset
2014-10-20 Mon 08:16 PM 4.67 feet High Tide
The conditions look ehhh with onshore winds in the 1-5 MPH zone until 10AM and then those get up to 10-14 MPH out of the West later in the day. The air temp tops out at 72 degrees.
For Tuesday morning that building swell should hit stride with head high to a few feet overhead waves for the top West facing breaks. This surf will have a bit of swagger with the long intervals so be ready to deal with a little power. I’n no fortune teller, but when I peer into my crystal ball I see block long closeouts for the South Bay beach breaks. A point or reef will likely be the call for this one.
2014-10-21 Tue 02:13 AM 1.10 feet Low Tide
2014-10-21 Tue 04:58 AM Moonrise
2014-10-21 Tue 07:04 AM Sunrise
2014-10-21 Tue 08:28 AM 5.39 feet High Tide
2014-10-21 Tue 02:50 PM 0.73 feet Low Tide
2014-10-21 Tue 05:04 PM Moonset
2014-10-21 Tue 06:12 PM Sunset
2014-10-21 Tue 08:51 PM 4.68 feet High Tide
The conditions look okay with variable winds in the 1-5 MPH zone until 11AM and then those get up to 10-12 MPH out of the West later in the day. The air temp tops out at 73 degrees.
The current water temps Newport 69 degrees, Huntington 72 degrees, the South Bay showed as 72 degrees, Santa Monica 70 degrees and Malibu 70 degrees.
I’ll be back on Sunday with the latest scoop!