HURRICANE WATCH: Development is expected in the East Pacific this week

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Tropical Storm Ivo is tracking to the west-northwest with maximum sustained winds of 60 mph. Ivo will track over very warm water and these ideal conditions should allow Ivo to intensify further, and the tropical storm is forecast to become a hurricane while tracking to the northwest, generally parallel to the southwest coast of Mexico. Ivo will also generate rough and dangerous surf along Baja California through the weekend. Ivo is expected to eventually move into more stable air and cooler ocean water this weekend and dissipate.

Also, an area of disturbed weather is located about 1,300 miles to the southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii. There is a low chance that this area will consolidate into a tropical system later this weekend or early next week as it moves west into the central Pacific. No impacts to land are expected tat this time.

For Friday morning that combo of NW energy will continue with waist to chest high waves for the better West facing beaches, (300-310 degrees with 9-10 second intervals), and the SW energy should peak with chest high + sets for the better South facing beaches, (210-215 degrees with 16 second intervals).

2019-08-23 Fri 03:56 AM 2.98 feet High Tide
2019-08-23 Fri 06:21 AM Sunrise
2019-08-23 Fri 07:58 AM Last Quarter
2019-08-23 Fri 08:23 AM 2.49 feet Low Tide
2019-08-23 Fri 01:42 PM Moonset
2019-08-23 Fri 03:37 PM 4.75 feet High Tide
2019-08-23 Fri 07:31 PM Sunset
2019-08-23 Fri 11:32 PM 1.40 feet Low Tide

The conditions look pretty good with 5-11 MPH winds out of the SE/SSE until noon and then 7-10 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp dips to 76 degrees.

For Saturday morning both swells will drop off a hair but the SW facing beaches should dole out chest high sets, (from that same 210-215 degree angle with 15 second intervals), and the West facing breaks will dip into the waist high + range, (310-305 degrees with 8-9 second intervals).

2019-08-24 Sat 12:24 AM Moonrise
2019-08-24 Sat 06:15 AM 3.07 feet High Tide
2019-08-24 Sat 06:21 AM Sunrise
2019-08-24 Sat 09:48 AM 2.76 feet Low Tide
2019-08-24 Sat 02:43 PM Moonset
2019-08-24 Sat 04:47 PM 5.05 feet High Tide
2019-08-24 Sat 07:30 PM Sunset

The conditions look okay with 1-5 MPH winds out of the West until 12:00PM and then 7-9 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 74 degrees.

For Sunday morning we will see inconsistent waist to chest high sets out of the SW and knee to waist high peaks out of the W/NW.

It looks like we’ll also see some Hurricane IVO swell enter the scene from an extremely sideways angle of 160-170 degrees. This will make it a tough proposition for all but the very most exposed South facing breaks. Only select spots in the OC and San O area with even notice this swell. Top spots like Newport Point will be seeing the most energy. Most other beaches will not even get a sniff of IVO. Check back tomorrow for more details.

2019-08-25 Sun 12:36 AM 0.80 feet Low Tide
2019-08-25 Sun 01:09 AM Moonrise
2019-08-25 Sun 06:22 AM Sunrise
2019-08-25 Sun 07:24 AM 3.38 feet High Tide
2019-08-25 Sun 11:20 AM 2.79 feet Low Tide
2019-08-25 Sun 03:45 PM Moonset
2019-08-25 Sun 05:50 PM 5.49 feet High Tide
2019-08-25 Sun 07:28 PM Sunset

The conditions look okay with variable 1-5 MPH winds out of the S/SW until 11:00AM and then 7-9 MPH out of the West in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 78 degrees.

For Monday morning it looks like we’re in for another steep IVO episode with chest to shoulder high sets for the SUPER EXPOSED South facing breaks in the AM, and that will dissipate quickly throughout the day.

2019-08-26 Mon 01:24 AM 0.18 feet Low Tide
2019-08-26 Mon 02:02 AM Moonrise
2019-08-26 Mon 06:23 AM Sunrise
2019-08-26 Mon 08:04 AM 3.73 feet High Tide
2019-08-26 Mon 12:28 PM 2.58 feet Low Tide
2019-08-26 Mon 04:45 PM Moonset
2019-08-26 Mon 06:46 PM 5.99 feet High Tide
2019-08-26 Mon 07:27 PM Sunset

The conditions look okay with 1-5 MPH winds out of the SW until noon and then 6-8 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp dips to 76 degrees.

For Tuesday morning we’ll dip back into knee to waist high zone up and down the coast.

2019-08-27 Tue 02:06 AM -0.36 feet Low Tide
2019-08-27 Tue 03:03 AM Moonrise
2019-08-27 Tue 06:24 AM Sunrise
2019-08-27 Tue 08:38 AM 4.07 feet High Tide
2019-08-27 Tue 01:23 PM 2.21 feet Low Tide
2019-08-27 Tue 05:42 PM Moonset
2019-08-27 Tue 07:26 PM Sunset
2019-08-27 Tue 07:37 PM 6.46 feet High Tide

The conditions look fair with 2-3 MPH variable winds out of the SW until 10:00AM and then 6-10 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 74 degrees on the sand.

On the Horizon: It looks like we’ll see some steep SW roll in from 180-185 degrees and put the exposed South facing beaches into the waist to chest high zone.

Water temps are as follows, (day of 4CAST update) and are as follows: Malibu 63 Santa Monica 69 South Bay 72, Huntington 64, Newport 66.

The next 4Cast will be updated on Friday.

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