SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA SURF FORECAST UPDATED on 8-20-2019
HURRICANE WATCH: Development is expected in the East Pacific this week
In the East Pacific, we have two areas of disturbed weather which should become organized tropical systems in the next few days. The one closest to land is designated as Invest 95E and is located about 260 miles to the southwest of Tapachula, Chiapas, Mexico and is projected to track west-northwest, almost parallel to the west coast of Mexico for the next several days and become a tropical storm and perhaps hurricane. As the system wraps up and becomes stronger, it will start to generate rough and dangerous surf. Definitely something to keep an eye on.
The second area of disturbed weather, designated as 97E, is far removed from land and is located nearly 1,000 miles to the southwest of the southern tip of Baja California. This system is moving west-northwest and is expected to remain well away from land for the next several days. A consensus of several computer forecasts suggest the system could pass near the Hawaiian Islands early next week. However, until this system becomes better organized, the future intensity, speed and movement of this system remains highly uncertain.
Given warm water and relatively low vertical wind shear, both 95E and 97E should become tropical storms and both could become hurricanes.
The rest of the East Pacific should remain relatively quiet through the weekend.
For Wednesday morning it looks like we’re in for another snoozer with continued knee to waist high zone.
2019-08-21 Wed 12:53 AM 3.89 feet High Tide
2019-08-21 Wed 06:19 AM Sunrise
2019-08-21 Wed 07:03 AM 1.66 feet Low Tide
2019-08-21 Wed 11:45 AM Moonset
2019-08-21 Wed 01:45 PM 4.51 feet High Tide
2019-08-21 Wed 07:33 PM Sunset
2019-08-21 Wed 08:22 PM 2.06 feet Low Tide
2019-08-21 Wed 11:10 PM Moonrise
The conditions look okay with 1-5 MPH winds out of the SW until noon and then 7-9 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp jumps up to 75 degrees.
For Thursday morning we’ll see a combo of NW energy show up throughout the day and put the top West facing breaks into the waist to possibly chest high zone.
We’ll also see some SW swell move in throughout the day from a 210-215 degree angle with 16-18 second intervals.
In a nutshell… it looks a bit iffy but there’s a chance you could pick off a few scout sets in the AM. Friday looks a bit more solid.
2019-08-22 Thu 01:58 AM 3.34 feet High Tide
2019-08-22 Thu 06:20 AM Sunrise
2019-08-22 Thu 07:36 AM 2.09 feet Low Tide
2019-08-22 Thu 12:43 PM Moonset
2019-08-22 Thu 02:34 PM 4.59 feet High Tide
2019-08-22 Thu 07:32 PM Sunset
2019-08-22 Thu 09:59 PM 1.87 feet Low Tide
2019-08-22 Thu 11:44 PM Moonrise
The conditions look fair with 1-4 MPH variable winds out of the SE/SSE until 10:00AM and then 7-9 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 76 degrees on the sand.
For Friday morning we will see that combo of NW energy will continue with waist to chest high waves for the better West facing beaches, (300 degrees with 10 second intervals), and the SW energy should peak with chest high + sets for the better South facing beaches, (210-215 degrees with 16 second intervals).
2019-08-23 Fri 03:56 AM 2.98 feet High Tide
2019-08-23 Fri 06:21 AM Sunrise
2019-08-23 Fri 07:58 AM Last Quarter
2019-08-23 Fri 08:23 AM 2.49 feet Low Tide
2019-08-23 Fri 01:42 PM Moonset
2019-08-23 Fri 03:37 PM 4.75 feet High Tide
2019-08-23 Fri 07:31 PM Sunset
2019-08-23 Fri 11:32 PM 1.40 feet Low Tide
The conditions look pretty good with 4-8 MPH winds out of the SE/SSE until noon and then 7-9 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp dips to 74 degrees.
For Saturday morning both swells will drop off a hair but the SW facing beaches should dole out chest high sets, (same 210-215 degree angle), and the West facing breaks will dip into the waist high + range, (3100-305 degrees with 8-9 second intervals).
2019-08-24 Sat 12:24 AM Moonrise
2019-08-24 Sat 06:15 AM 3.07 feet High Tide
2019-08-24 Sat 06:21 AM Sunrise
2019-08-24 Sat 09:48 AM 2.76 feet Low Tide
2019-08-24 Sat 02:43 PM Moonset
2019-08-24 Sat 04:47 PM 5.05 feet High Tide
2019-08-24 Sat 07:30 PM Sunset
The conditions look okay with 1-5 MPH winds out of the West until 12:00PM and then 7-9 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 74 degrees again.
For Sunday morning we will inconsistent waist to chest high sets out of the SW and waist high peaks out of the W/NW.
2019-08-25 Sun 12:36 AM 0.80 feet Low Tide
2019-08-25 Sun 01:09 AM Moonrise
2019-08-25 Sun 06:22 AM Sunrise
2019-08-25 Sun 07:24 AM 3.38 feet High Tide
2019-08-25 Sun 11:20 AM 2.79 feet Low Tide
2019-08-25 Sun 03:45 PM Moonset
2019-08-25 Sun 05:50 PM 5.49 feet High Tide
2019-08-25 Sun 07:28 PM Sunset
The conditions look okay with variable 3-5 MPH winds out of the SW until 10:00AM and then 7-14 MPH out of the West in the afternoon. The air temp holds at 74 degrees.
On the Horizon: Monday should deliver waist to chest high surf for the better West facing breaks and meager knee to waist high surf for the rest of the week.
Water temps are as follows, (day of 4CAST update) and are as follows: Malibu 65 Santa Monica 69 South Bay 72, Huntington 66, Newport 68.
The next 4Cast will be updated on Thursday.
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