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cane 3

We are currently watching a few disorganized areas of low pressure trekking across the Eastern Pacific Basin. Organized tropical development is not expected through at least Tuesday, but there could be a more conducive environment by midweek.

The first area of concern is a batch of showers and thunderstorms a few hundred miles south of El Salvador. This area lacks organization at the moment, but as it moves westward over the next few days interaction with warm water and only moderate shear may provide a window for development.

The second area of concern is associated with a tropical wave approximately 1,000 miles south of the southern tip of the Baja Peninsula. A significant area of shower and thunderstorm activity resides with this tropical wave embedded within the Intertropical Convergence Zone. There is a weak midlevel circulation associated with this area of low pressure, but much of the thunderstorm activity has been displaced to the south of the circulation due to some modest northeasterly wind shear. Shear is expected to weaken by the middle of next week and development appears probable with this area of low pressure during that time as it enters a more conducive environment.

Stay tuned!

For Monday morning that new swell will peak and there will also be a myriad of leftover swell so stay on your toes and you could stab a couple good ones. The primary swell will be from that 200-210 degree angle and have strapping 16-18 second intervals. The top South facing breaks should see shoulder to head high + sets throughout the day with a few larger waves sneaking in on occasion!

2018-07-23 Mon 02:08 AM 0.25 feet Low Tide
2018-07-23 Mon 02:42 AM Moonset
2018-07-23 Mon 05:59 AM Sunrise
2018-07-23 Mon 08:34 AM 3.55 feet High Tide
2018-07-23 Mon 01:06 PM 2.36 feet Low Tide
2018-07-23 Mon 04:55 PM Moonrise
2018-07-23 Mon 07:30 PM 5.70 feet High Tide
2018-07-23 Mon 08:01 PM Sunset

The conditions look okay with variable winds out of the SW in the 1-3 MPH zone until 10AM and 6-11 MPH in the afternoon. The air temp bumps up to 80 degrees.

For Tuesday morning the SW swell will continue to pour in and actually peak. The most exposed South facing beaches should see head high to OH sets with larger waves in the OC and San O’ areas. All of the points and reefs to the North part of SM Bay and beyond should also be ripe for the picken’!

The rest of the week should sustain decent size. Tides look good, winds are tolerable… and the most important ingredient, surf, is already in the mix!

2018-07-24 Tue 02:47 AM -0.04 feet Low Tide
2018-07-24 Tue 03:24 AM Moonset
2018-07-24 Tue 05:59 AM Sunrise
2018-07-24 Tue 09:17 AM 3.69 feet High Tide
2018-07-24 Tue 01:48 PM 2.39 feet Low Tide
2018-07-24 Tue 05:48 PM Moonrise
2018-07-24 Tue 08:00 PM Sunset
2018-07-24 Tue 08:06 PM 5.81 feet High Tide

The conditions look fair early with Southerly winds in the 1-5 MPH zone until noon and 8-10 MPH in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at a scorching, global warming, 83 degrees on the sand. Republican or Democrat… if you’re a surfer, you have to thank the Lord that Scott Pruit got the axe!

For Wednesday morning the SW energy will continue to pump and dish up shoulder high to head high + sets for the better South facing breaks. The dominant swell will be from 200-205 degrees with 16-17 second intervals.

2018-07-25 Wed 03:21 AM -0.22 feet Low Tide
2018-07-25 Wed 04:10 AM Moonset
2018-07-25 Wed 06:00 AM Sunrise
2018-07-25 Wed 09:51 AM 3.80 feet High Tide
2018-07-25 Wed 02:25 PM 2.37 feet Low Tide
2018-07-25 Wed 06:37 PM Moonrise
2018-07-25 Wed 08:00 PM Sunset
2018-07-25 Wed 08:39 PM 5.90 feet High Tide

The conditions look okay with Southerly breezes in the 1-5 MPH range until noon and 7-9 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp bumps up to 84 degrees.

By Thursday morning the swell will start its slow, methodical decline with chest to shoulder high sets from that same 200-205 degree angle. The intervals will drop to a still respectable 15-16 second intervals. The earlier the better as the energy continues to fade into the afternoon.

2018-07-26 Thu 03:52 AM -0.32 feet Low Tide
2018-07-26 Thu 04:59 AM Moonset
2018-07-26 Thu 06:01 AM Sunrise
2018-07-26 Thu 10:20 AM 3.88 feet High Tide
2018-07-26 Thu 02:58 PM 2.31 feet Low Tide
2018-07-26 Thu 07:23 PM Moonrise
2018-07-26 Thu 07:59 PM Sunset
2018-07-26 Thu 09:11 PM 5.94 feet High Tide

The conditions look pretty good early with 2-3 MPH breezes out of the SE/SSE until 10:00AM 6-9 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp holds at a scorching 84 degrees.

Friday morning we should be able to wrangle one more day of surf out of this one with chest high sets in the AM. There’s a nice little tide push through the morning and the conditions look fair.

2018-07-27 Fri 04:21 AM -0.34 feet Low Tide
2018-07-27 Fri 05:50 AM Moonset
2018-07-27 Fri 06:01 AM Sunrise
2018-07-27 Fri 10:48 AM 3.94 feet High Tide
2018-07-27 Fri 01:22 PM Full Moon
2018-07-27 Fri 03:31 PM 2.25 feet Low Tide
2018-07-27 Fri 07:58 PM Sunset
2018-07-27 Fri 08:05 PM Moonrise
2018-07-27 Fri 09:42 PM 5.92 feet High Tide

The conditions look the same as Thursday with 2-3 MPH breezes out of the SE/SSE until 10:00AM and 6-10 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp dips a hair to 81 degrees.

Water temps (day of 4CAST update), are as follows: Malibu 67, Santa Monica 66 South Bay 70, Huntington 71, Newport 68.

The next 4CAST will be posted on Tuesday!

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