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HURRICANE WATCH: Erick strengthens to a major hurricane; Flossie to become a hurricane on Tuesday

Erick is now a major hurricane located about 920 miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii. Erick is moving through an environment conducive for further strengthening with warm water and low wind shear. Rough surf and rip currents will increase across the Hawaiian Islands by Wednesday. As Erick approaches Hawaii by the end of the week, stronger wind shear will lead to gradual weakening. Erick should bypass south of the islands as a tropical storm. As it does so, rough seas and rip currents will continue along with enhanced downpours, especially across the Big Island.

Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Flossie is about 1,000 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja California. Environmental conditions will support gradual strengthening over the next several days as the storm moves in a general westward motion over the open waters of the East Pacific. The system will likely become a hurricane later today. It is possible that Flossie will become a major hurricane late this week. This storm will pose no threat to land through the upcoming weekend, but could approach Hawaii early next week.

For Wednesday morning we will see no major changes with knee to waist high NW wind swell for the better West facing breaks,

2019-07-31 Wed 03:50 AM -1.18 feet Low Tide
2019-07-31 Wed 05:25 AM Moonrise
2019-07-31 Wed 06:04 AM Sunrise
2019-07-31 Wed 10:17 AM 4.21 feet High Tide
2019-07-31 Wed 03:06 PM 1.87 feet Low Tide
2019-07-31 Wed 07:55 PM Sunset
2019-07-31 Wed 07:57 PM Moonset
2019-07-31 Wed 08:12 PM New Moon
2019-07-31 Wed 09:22 PM 7.03 feet High Tide

The conditions don’t change much with variable, 2-6 MPH winds out of the South until noon and then 7-10 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp remains at 74 degrees.

For Thursday morning we will dip into the knee to waist high range everywhere.

2019-08-01 Thu 04:31 AM -1.32 feet Low Tide
2019-08-01 Thu 06:05 AM Sunrise
2019-08-01 Thu 06:36 AM Moonrise
2019-08-01 Thu 10:56 AM 4.42 feet High Tide
2019-08-01 Thu 03:55 PM 1.69 feet Low Tide
2019-08-01 Thu 07:54 PM Sunset
2019-08-01 Thu 08:46 PM Moonset
2019-08-01 Thu 10:08 PM 6.98 feet High Tide

The conditions look similar with variable 1-5 MPH winds out of the S/SW until noon and then 8-11 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp holds at 74 degrees.

For Friday morning we will see the exposed South facing breaks pick up some tropical energy from Flossie as she moves in and generates some waist high sets from 185-190 degrees with 12-14 second intervals.

2019-08-02 Fri 05:11 AM -1.23 feet Low Tide
2019-08-02 Fri 06:06 AM Sunrise
2019-08-02 Fri 07:48 AM Moonrise
2019-08-02 Fri 11:37 AM 4.61 feet High Tide
2019-08-02 Fri 04:47 PM 1.58 feet Low Tide
2019-08-02 Fri 07:53 PM Sunset
2019-08-02 Fri 09:30 PM Moonset
2019-08-02 Fri 10:56 PM 6.66 feet High Tide

The conditions look fair early with 1-5 MPH winds out of the W/SW until noon and then 8-11 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp jumps up to 75 degrees.

For Saturday morning we’ll see knee to waist high surf everywhere.

2019-08-03 Sat 05:53 AM -0.93 feet Low Tide
2019-08-03 Sat 06:06 AM Sunrise
2019-08-03 Sat 08:59 AM Moonrise
2019-08-03 Sat 12:20 PM 4.78 feet High Tide
2019-08-03 Sat 05:42 PM 1.55 feet Low Tide
2019-08-03 Sat 07:53 PM Sunset
2019-08-03 Sat 10:09 PM Moonset
2019-08-03 Sat 11:46 PM 6.09 feet High Tide

The conditions look tolerable with 1-5 MPH winds out of the S/SW until noon and then 6-9 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp dips to 74 degrees.

For Sunday morning we will continue to wallow in the knee to waist high range.

2019-08-04 Sun 06:07 AM Sunrise
2019-08-04 Sun 06:35 AM -0.44 feet Low Tide
2019-08-04 Sun 10:09 AM Moonrise
2019-08-04 Sun 01:06 PM 4.93 feet High Tide
2019-08-04 Sun 06:45 PM 1.57 feet Low Tide
2019-08-04 Sun 07:52 PM Sunset
2019-08-04 Sun 10:46 PM Moonset

The conditions look fair with variable 2-6 MPH winds out of the South until noon and then 5-8 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 78 degrees.

Water temps are as follows, (day of 4CAST update) and are as follows: Malibu 66 Santa Monica 69 South Bay 75, Huntington 67, Newport 70.

The next 4Cast will be updated on Thursday.

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