HURRICANE WATCH: Erick is a weakening tropical storm and is located about 260 miles southwest of Hilo, Hawaii. Erick is moving west-northwest at 13 mph with maximum sustained winds of 45 mph. Erick will continue to weaken through the weekend as the storm passes south of the Big Island of Hawaii. Rough surf and rip currents are impacting the Hawaiian Islands mostly over the east- and south-facing islands in and around Moloka’i and Maui.

Tropical Storm Flossie is located about 1,130 miles east of Hilo, Hawaii. The tropical storm is moving west northwest at 17 mph with maximum sustained winds of 70 mph. Flossie is moving through an environment of moderate wind shear and relatively warm water. This has allowed the storm to remain a very strong tropical storm so far. Flossie will move into cooler water and gradually weaken during the upcoming weekend and into early next week. Flossie is being steered by a large high pressure area located to the north. This feature will keep Flossie on a west-northwest course through the next 24-36 hours. As the western part of the high pressure area erodes, Flossie should track more towards the northwest. The tropical storm could pass close to the eastern most Hawaiian Islands late in the weekend and early next week. This could bring an increased threat for rough surf and heavy rain to parts of the island chain.

A strong tropical wave along 117 west south of 17 north is moving westward. Satellite images show large clusters of clouds, showers and thunderstorms in and around this disorganized feature. If this activity continues to grow along this tropical wave, surface pressures should fall, and this could lead to some organization during the next few days. Further organization could lead to tropical development late in the weekend or early next week. The system is projected to move west or west northwest away from Mexico and should remain no threat to any important landmasses for the next several days. Stay tuned!

For Saturday morning we’ll see knee to waist high surf everywhere courtesy of that feeble Flossie energy, (185-190 at 15 seconds), and some less than dynamic NW wind swell, (310 degrees with 7-8 second intervals).

2019-08-03 Sat 05:53 AM -0.93 feet Low Tide
2019-08-03 Sat 06:06 AM Sunrise
2019-08-03 Sat 08:59 AM Moonrise
2019-08-03 Sat 12:20 PM 4.78 feet High Tide
2019-08-03 Sat 05:42 PM 1.55 feet Low Tide
2019-08-03 Sat 07:53 PM Sunset
2019-08-03 Sat 10:09 PM Moonset
2019-08-03 Sat 11:46 PM 6.09 feet High Tide

The conditions look tolerable again with 2-5 MPH winds out of the S/SW until noon and then 6-8 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp holds at 77 degrees.

For Sunday morning we will continue to wallow in the knee to waist high range for most spots, but the really exposed beaches in the OC and San O’ areas should pick up some bonus swell from 180-185 degrees with 14-15 second intervals. Expect some inconsistent sets in the waist high + range for standouts.

Tiny NW wind swell will remain in the mix.

2019-08-04 Sun 06:07 AM Sunrise
2019-08-04 Sun 06:35 AM -0.44 feet Low Tide
2019-08-04 Sun 10:09 AM Moonrise
2019-08-04 Sun 01:06 PM 4.93 feet High Tide
2019-08-04 Sun 06:45 PM 1.57 feet Low Tide
2019-08-04 Sun 07:52 PM Sunset
2019-08-04 Sun 10:46 PM Moonset

The conditions look okay with variable 2-6 MPH winds out of the South until noon and then 7-8 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 77 degrees again.

For Monday morning we will see some light at the end of the tunnel and although rather dim it offers a little hope for the S/SW facing beaches. Some fresh energy will fill in through the day from a 190-195 degree angle with 17-18 second intervals. The top spots should see some chest high sets as it makes its way into So Cal.

Tiny NW wind swell will remain in the mix.

2019-08-05 Mon 12:41 AM 5.33 feet High Tide
2019-08-05 Mon 06:08 AM Sunrise
2019-08-05 Mon 07:19 AM 0.18 feet Low Tide
2019-08-05 Mon 11:16 AM Moonrise
2019-08-05 Mon 01:56 PM 5.05 feet High Tide
2019-08-05 Mon 07:51 PM Sunset
2019-08-05 Mon 07:59 PM 1.59 feet Low Tide
2019-08-05 Mon 11:21 PM Moonset

The conditions look okay early with 2-3 MPH winds out of the SW until 10:00AM and then 7-10 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp remains at 77 degrees.

For Tuesday morning we will see that swell become more consistent and dish up chest high + sets for the most exposed South facing breaks. The angle will remain the same, (190-195), but the intervals will dip to 16 seconds.

* A second South swell will start to show up later in the day from 190 degrees and more powerful 18-19 second intervals.

Tiny NW wind swell will remain in the mix.

2019-08-06 Tue 01:47 AM 4.50 feet High Tide
2019-08-06 Tue 06:08 AM Sunrise
2019-08-06 Tue 08:06 AM 0.86 feet Low Tide
2019-08-06 Tue 12:22 PM Moonrise
2019-08-06 Tue 02:51 PM 5.16 feet High Tide
2019-08-06 Tue 07:50 PM Sunset
2019-08-06 Tue 09:26 PM 1.48 feet Low Tide
2019-08-06 Tue 11:56 PM Moonset

The conditions look similar with variable 1-5 MPH winds out of the W/SW until noon and then 9-11 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp holds at 77 degrees.

Water temps are as follows, (day of 4CAST update) and are as follows: Malibu 66 Santa Monica 69 South Bay 72, Huntington 69, Newport 71.

The next 4Cast will be updated on Sunday.

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