SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA SURF FORECAST UPDATED on 9-30-18
Rosa’s wind intensity will continue to abate as it moves northward across cooler ocean waters. By Monday, Rosa’s forward speed will increase significantly as it interacts with an upper-level low. Rosa will likely initially make landfall along the northern Baja Peninsula later Monday or Monday night as a tropical storm, bringing flooding rain and gusty winds. Rosa’s deep tropical moisture will surge northward into Southern California, Arizona, New Mexico, Utah and Colorado, by Tuesday and likely become a flash flooding threat in many of these regions.
Also in the East Pacific, Tropical Storm Sergio is centered a few hundred miles southwest of the Mexican coastline. Sergio will intensify as it moves westward through a zone of warm water. Rough surf and rip currents are likely along the Mexican coastlines and southern Baja Peninsula over the next several days. We anticipate Sergio to become a major hurricane later this week.
For Monday morning we will see that Hurricane Rosa swell peak with OH to DOH + sets at the top South facing breaks. The angle should swing out a bit wider to 175-185 degrees with 13-14 second intervals. Looks like it should be absolutely pumping and the winds look fairly reasonable all day long! Find an exposed South facing beach and fasten your seat belt! There are likely to be some nasty rips and heavy flurries of waves at the standout spots so give it a good look before you hop in!
2018-10-01 Mon 03:32 AM 3.35 feet High Tide
2018-10-01 Mon 06:48 AM Sunrise
2018-10-01 Mon 07:29 AM 2.86 feet Low Tide
2018-10-01 Mon 01:15 PM Moonset
2018-10-01 Mon 02:12 PM 5.13 feet High Tide
2018-10-01 Mon 06:38 PM Sunset
2018-10-01 Mon 10:08 PM 0.72 feet Low Tide
2018-10-01 Mon 11:42 PM Moonrise
The conditions should be fair with light onshore breezes at 2-4 MPH until noon and 5-9 MPH winds out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 77 degrees.
For Tuesday morning we’ll see that Hurricane energy drop off into the chest to shoulder high zone from 175-185 degrees with 12-13 second intervals. The winds look a bit better today based on Sundays models, so just check out the cams in case you need to find a wind protected break and just hope the onshores don’t junk up the sea surface.
2018-10-02 Tue 02:47 AM Last Quarter
2018-10-02 Tue 05:27 AM 3.55 feet High Tide
2018-10-02 Tue 06:49 AM Sunrise
2018-10-02 Tue 09:19 AM 3.08 feet Low Tide
2018-10-02 Tue 02:15 PM Moonset
2018-10-02 Tue 03:41 PM 5.11 feet High Tide
2018-10-02 Tue 06:36 PM Sunset
2018-10-02 Tue 11:27 PM 0.40 feet Low Tide
The conditions look iffy with stiff, Southerly, onshore breezes at 8-16 MPH all day long. There’s a 20% chance of Hurricane associated rains and the air temp tops out at 72 degrees.
For Wednesday morning we’ll see remnant Southerly Hurricane energy in the waist to possibly chest high range, (175-185 with 11-12 second intervals), but the winds look pretty for good the AM.
We’ll also see some smallish, SW energy enter the fray from a 215-220 degree angle and 15-16 second intervals.
As a bonus… the West facing breaks should pick up a little NW energy to the tune of waist to chest high.
Looks like a perfect scenario for some hide and seek… good luck. I hope you find something!
2018-10-03 Wed 12:42 AM Moonrise
2018-10-03 Wed 06:31 AM 3.95 feet High Tide
2018-10-03 Wed 06:50 AM Sunrise
2018-10-03 Wed 11:07 AM 2.87 feet Low Tide
2018-10-03 Wed 03:10 PM Moonset
2018-10-03 Wed 05:06 PM 5.30 feet High Tide
2018-10-03 Wed 06:35 PM Sunset
The conditions look pretty good early with light Easterly breezes at 1-4 MPH until noon and 7-10 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. There’s a 80% chance of rain and the air temp tops out at 68 degrees.
For Thursday morning we’ll see minor, leftover, SW Hurricane energy in the knee to waist high + range. Looks like it’s back to drawing board but stay tuned… the tropics continue to churn up storms as I write this!
Also on the table will be that 215-220 degree SW energy…. and also another pulse from the same angle hot on its heels which will fill in later in the afternoon.
Lastly that NW energy should continue to dish up waist high + sets for the better West facing beaches.
* There’s also a chance of some super steeply angled South swell rolling in courtesy of Hurricane Sergio but at this point it’s completely hypothetical!
2018-10-04 Thu 12:26 AM 0.07 feet Low Tide
2018-10-04 Thu 01:47 AM Moonrise
2018-10-04 Thu 06:50 AM Sunrise
2018-10-04 Thu 07:12 AM 4.39 feet High Tide
2018-10-04 Thu 12:20 PM 2.36 feet Low Tide
2018-10-04 Thu 03:59 PM Moonset
2018-10-04 Thu 06:16 PM 5.59 feet High Tide
2018-10-04 Thu 06:33 PM Sunset
The conditions look good for the AM with light E/SE breezes at 1-4 MPH until noon and 9-11 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 67 degrees.
For Friday morning we will see leftover SW swell, leftover NW swell and a very serious chance of some Hurricane swell. These quick pop Hurricane swells are impossible to pinpoint so just stay tuned please and I’ll do my best to crack the code.
2018-10-05 Fri 01:14 AM -0.18 feet Low Tide
2018-10-05 Fri 02:54 AM Moonrise
2018-10-05 Fri 06:51 AM Sunrise
2018-10-05 Fri 07:47 AM 4.83 feet High Tide
2018-10-05 Fri 01:16 PM 1.74 feet Low Tide
2018-10-05 Fri 04:44 PM Moonset
2018-10-05 Fri 06:32 PM Sunset
2018-10-05 Fri 07:14 PM 5.85 feet High Tide
The conditions look okay with variable breezes out of the South at 3-6 MPH breezes until noon and 6-9 MPH winds out of the West in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 68 degrees on the sand.
Water temps are as follows, (day of 4CAST update) and are as follows: Malibu 65, Santa Monica 68 South Bay 70, Huntington 64, Newport 68.
The next 4CAST will be posted on Tuesday!
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