Today’s Slideshow is courtesy of Dave Waters – South Bay archives
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SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA SURF FORECAST UPDATED 8-20-14
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HURRICANE WATCH August 20, 2014 – Tropical Storm Karina will move little over the open Pacific Ocean through tonight before beginning an eastward drift Thursday. Karina is located far to the east of Hilo, Hawai. After drifting a bit to the east tomorrow, Karina is expected to take more of a northeast track toward the end of the week, possibly getting drawn into the larger circulation of Lowell later this weekend.
Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Lowell is well to the west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California. As Lowell tracks slowly to the northwest over warm water, it may still slowly strengthen tonight into Thursday. Beyond tomorrow Lowell will track over cooler waters which should result in a gradual weakening trend. Lowell has a large circulation and computer models continue to show Karina getting drawn into this circulation over the weekend. Rough surf and dangerous rip currents along the southern coast of Baja California will expand northward through tomorrow. There could be an increase in swells and rip currents in Southern California by the upcoming weekend.
Elsewhere across the basin, low pressure developing well south of Guatemala could be our next organized tropical cyclone in the eastern Pacific by the weekend as it tracks to the west-northwest. There are a pair of low pressure systems well south and southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. No imminent tropical development is forecast for either system, but the low southeast of Hawaii could bring an increase in showers to the Big Island by tomorrow.
Wednesday morning we’ll be left with waist high surf for the top South facing breaks so expect to do a bit of waiting between sets.
2014-08-20 Wed 01:33 AM 0.39 feet Low Tide
2014-08-20 Wed 02:07 AM Moonrise
2014-08-20 Wed 06:19 AM Sunrise
2014-08-20 Wed 08:08 AM 3.86 feet High Tide
2014-08-20 Wed 12:52 PM 2.47 feet Low Tide
2014-08-20 Wed 04:19 PM Moonset
2014-08-20 Wed 07:02 PM 5.46 feet High Tide
2014-08-20 Wed 07:34 PM Sunset
The conditions look okay with variable winds, out of the East, in the 1-3 MPH zone until 10AM and then those pick up to 10-12 MPH in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 75 degrees.
Thursday morning should see a little boost in size for the most exposed South facing beaches courtesy of Tropical Storm Lowell. The angle will start off very steep on Thursday and as it nudges it’s way West the angle, (on paper), will start to have more and more West in it. Anyway it will start tomorrow with 10-12 second intervals from a severe 165-175 degree angle and move right past the majority of So Cal beaches.
2014-08-21 Thu 02:13 AM 0.21 feet Low Tide
2014-08-21 Thu 02:58 AM Moonrise
2014-08-21 Thu 06:19 AM Sunrise
2014-08-21 Thu 08:42 AM 4.06 feet High Tide
2014-08-21 Thu 01:38 PM 2.28 feet Low Tide
2014-08-21 Thu 05:02 PM Moonset
2014-08-21 Thu 07:33 PM Sunset
2014-08-21 Thu 07:44 PM 5.60 feet High Tide
The conditions look okay with light onshore winds in the 2-4 MPH zone until 10AM and then those pick up to 10-12 MPH in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 76 degrees.
Friday morning will be a bit bigger, more consistent and have more West in it. The angle will still be too steep for most spots, coming up the line from from 180-185 degrees. The spots that are receptive to that swell direction should cash in on shoulder to head high sets. *This all based on what Lowell is projected to do, but Tropical storms don’t always stick to the script!
2014-08-22 Fri 02:45 AM 0.11 feet Low Tide
2014-08-22 Fri 03:50 AM Moonrise
2014-08-22 Fri 06:20 AM Sunrise
2014-08-22 Fri 09:09 AM 4.22 feet High Tide
2014-08-22 Fri 02:15 PM 2.06 feet Low Tide
2014-08-22 Fri 05:41 PM Moonset
2014-08-22 Fri 07:32 PM Sunset
2014-08-22 Fri 08:20 PM 5.69 feet High Tide
The conditions look okay with light and variable winds in the 1-2 MPH zone until 10AM and then those pick up to 8-10 MPH in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 77 degrees.
On Saturday morning Lowell will be on the fade, but once again be moving in with a little more West in it. It will get less consistent as the day wears on but get into any beach that likes a 190-195 degree angle. Look for chest high plus sets in the AM and smaller waves by sundown.
2014-08-23 Sat 03:13 AM 0.09 feet Low Tide
2014-08-23 Sat 04:43 AM Moonrise
2014-08-23 Sat 06:21 AM Sunrise
2014-08-23 Sat 09:33 AM 4.36 feet High Tide
2014-08-23 Sat 02:48 PM 1.85 feet Low Tide
2014-08-23 Sat 06:18 PM Moonset
2014-08-23 Sat 07:31 PM Sunset
2014-08-23 Sat 08:52 PM 5.73 feet High Tide
The conditions look okay with light and variable winds in the 1-3 MPH zone until 10AM and then those pick up to 10-13 MPH in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 77 degrees.
On Sunday morning will see whats left of Lowell and some fresh ground swell from a liberal 220 degree angle. That energy, coupled with Lowell leftovers should make for some fun chest high plus sets for the top spots.
2014-08-24 Sun 03:39 AM 0.12 feet Low Tide
2014-08-24 Sun 05:36 AM Moonrise
2014-08-24 Sun 06:22 AM Sunrise
2014-08-24 Sun 09:56 AM 4.50 feet High Tide
2014-08-24 Sun 03:20 PM 1.67 feet Low Tide
2014-08-24 Sun 06:52 PM Moonset
2014-08-24 Sun 07:29 PM Sunset
2014-08-24 Sun 09:23 PM 5.68 feet High Tide
The conditions look tolerable with light onshore winds in the 1-5 MPH zone until 10AM and then those pick up to 10-15 MPH in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 77 degrees.
The current water temps Newport 70 degrees, Huntington 66 degrees, the South Bay showed as 71 degrees, Santa Monica 71 degrees and Malibu 69 degrees.
I’ll be back on Thursday with the next update.