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HURRICANE WATCH: A new tropical depression has formed Monday afternoon, well south of southern Mexico. Tropical Depression 22 is moving to the west at 18 mph with maximum sustained winds of 35 mph. It is about 465 miles south-southwest of Acacpulco, Mexico. Further strengthening is expected over the next couple of days as 22 moves over warm water. Wind analysis shows that gap winds over the Gulf of Tehuantepec is helping to strengthen the circulation of this depression.

It will eventually become a tropical storm, perhaps as soon as Tuesday morning. It will acquire the name Sandra. This is when it will begin to track more towards the northwest and eventually make a turn to the north, while likely reaching hurricane status by the middle of the week.

This one is poised to actually deliver a little swell so stay tuned!

For Tuesday morning there won’t be much of a change for the morning but we should start seeing a little more NW wind swell energy start to filter in late in the day, (along with gusty onshore breezes).

* An early high tide will bury the small surf for the dawn patrol again.

2015-11-24 Tue 01:01 AM 1.09 feet Low Tide
2015-11-24 Tue 04:59 AM Moonset
2015-11-24 Tue 06:34 AM Sunrise
2015-11-24 Tue 07:20 AM 6.78 feet High Tide
2015-11-24 Tue 02:14 PM -0.90 feet Low Tide
2015-11-24 Tue 04:14 PM Moonrise
2015-11-24 Tue 04:46 PM Sunset
2015-11-24 Tue 08:29 PM 4.56 feet High Tide

The conditions look fair with variable winds out of the East in the 2-7 MPH range until 11AM and 8-10 MPH breezes out of the West in the afternoon. The air plummets to 66 degrees.

For Wednesday morning we will see all day onshore winds and sloppy wind swell walking hand in hand with breezy culprit. Probably worth a look if you like to bust airs in wind slop, but as Austin Powers would say, “That’s not my bag baby!”

2015-11-25 Wed 01:44 AM 1.29 feet Low Tide
2015-11-25 Wed 06:06 AM Moonset
2015-11-25 Wed 06:35 AM Sunrise
2015-11-25 Wed 07:59 AM 6.94 feet High Tide
2015-11-25 Wed 02:44 PM Full Moon
2015-11-25 Wed 02:59 PM -1.16 feet Low Tide
2015-11-25 Wed 04:45 PM Sunset
2015-11-25 Wed 05:04 PM Moonrise
2015-11-25 Wed 09:20 PM 4.49 feet High Tide

The conditions look poor with onshore winds all day and very strong in the afternoon. There’s a 10% chance of rain and the air tops out at a chilly 60 degrees.

For Thursday morning – Happy Thanksgiving – we will see 10-12 second interval NW wind swell in the chest to shoulder high range.

2015-11-26 Thu 02:25 AM 1.53 feet Low Tide
2015-11-26 Thu 06:36 AM Sunrise
2015-11-26 Thu 07:11 AM Moonset
2015-11-26 Thu 08:39 AM 6.90 feet High Tide
2015-11-26 Thu 03:44 PM -1.18 feet Low Tide
2015-11-26 Thu 04:45 PM Sunset
2015-11-26 Thu 05:58 PM Moonrise
2015-11-26 Thu 10:10 PM 4.36 feet High Tide

The conditions look to improve dramatically, but may not recover completely. Models are calling for N/NNE winds at 5-7 MPH early and a mild 6-9 MPH in the afternoon. The air temp dips another notch to 59 degrees.

WATER TEMPS LOOK LIKE THEY’RE ON THE RISE AGAIN! The current water temps Newport 66 degrees, Huntington 64 degrees, the South Bay showed as 66 degrees, Santa Monica 65 degrees and Malibu 64 degrees.

I’ll be back on Tuesday with the 5DAY 4CAST!