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Hurricane Hector has weakened slightly but another tropical system may form this weekend
8/3/2018 5:45:00 AM

Hector has weakened to a category 1 hurricane with winds of 90 mph. Hector is moving to the west at 12 mph and remains far removed from any landmass. Hector will continue to move over warmer water and stay within a moist unstable air mass and decreasing vertical wind shear during the next few days. These very favorable environmental conditions should allow the hurricane to intensify back to a category 2 hurricane tomorrow and then become a major hurricane tomorrow night or Sunday.

We are also watching a tropical wave near 96 west that should evolve into an area low pressure during the next couple of days and could develop into an organized tropical system west of the southern coast of Mexico this weekend. Current computer forecast models suggest this potential developing system should track more northwest, perhaps parallel to but well off the Mexican coast during next week.

An area of disorganized clouds, showers and thunderstorms now well east of Hector, near 110 west, is also being monitored for possible development. However, this system might face too much interaction with the developing low pressure system east of it slowing development. New computer forecasts still show potential for development early next week.

While nothing is etched in stone… WE COULD SEE HURRICANE SWELL as early as next Thursday! Stay tuned!

By Saturday morning it looks like we’ll see some fresh NW wind swell roll in from a steep 310 degree angle and 7-9 second intervals. Not too much to get excited about, but there should be some waist high + peaks for the exposed West facing beaches.

2018-08-04 Sat 12:02 AM Moonrise
2018-08-04 Sat 02:57 AM 3.33 feet High Tide
2018-08-04 Sat 06:07 AM Sunrise
2018-08-04 Sat 08:47 AM 1.79 feet Low Tide
2018-08-04 Sat 11:19 AM Last Quarter
2018-08-04 Sat 01:19 PM Moonset
2018-08-04 Sat 03:49 PM 4.84 feet High Tide
2018-08-04 Sat 07:51 PM Sunset
2018-08-04 Sat 11:04 PM 1.61 feet Low Tide

The conditions look okay with variable 2-5 MPH breezes out of the SW until noon and 6-9 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp holds at 75 degrees.

By Sunday morning we’ll see a slight improvement in size as that NW wind swell increases a hair and should dish up waist to possibly chest high surf for the top West facing beaches. This energy will remain a steep 310 degrees and have 8-10 second intervals.

2018-08-05 Sun 12:39 AM Moonrise
2018-08-05 Sun 04:54 AM 3.11 feet High Tide
2018-08-05 Sun 06:08 AM Sunrise
2018-08-05 Sun 09:50 AM 2.12 feet Low Tide
2018-08-05 Sun 02:22 PM Moonset
2018-08-05 Sun 04:48 PM 5.22 feet High Tide
2018-08-05 Sun 07:51 PM Sunset

The conditions look okay with 1-6 MPH breezes out of the South until noon 6-9 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp jumps up to 79 degrees.

Monday morning looks pretty small again with knee to waist high surf.

2018-08-06 Mon 12:18 AM 0.94 feet Low Tide
2018-08-06 Mon 01:21 AM Moonrise
2018-08-06 Mon 06:09 AM Sunrise
2018-08-06 Mon 06:33 AM 3.25 feet High Tide
2018-08-06 Mon 11:03 AM 2.29 feet Low Tide
2018-08-06 Mon 03:27 PM Moonset
2018-08-06 Mon 05:46 PM 5.68 feet High Tide
2018-08-06 Mon 07:50 PM Sunset

The conditions look to be fair with 1-5 MPH breezes out of the SW until noon and 8-10 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp increases to 82 degrees.

For Tuesday morning we’ll see more feeble knee to waist high surf everywhere.

2018-08-07 Tue 01:14 AM 0.23 feet Low Tide
2018-08-07 Tue 02:09 AM Moonrise
2018-08-07 Tue 06:09 AM Sunrise
2018-08-07 Tue 07:40 AM 3.56 feet High Tide
2018-08-07 Tue 12:11 PM 2.27 feet Low Tide
2018-08-07 Tue 04:33 PM Moonset
2018-08-07 Tue 06:41 PM 6.18 feet High Tide
2018-08-07 Tue 07:49 PM Sunset

The conditions look fair with variable winds in the 0-5 MPH zone until noon and 7-10 MPH in the afternoon. The air temp soars to 87 degrees.

Water temps (day of 4CAST update), are as follows: Malibu 68, Santa Monica 70 South Bay 72, Huntington 72, Newport 71.

The next 4CAST will be posted on Sunday!

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