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cane 2

Major Hurricane Hector storms across the Central Pacific; TD 13 strengthens into Tropical Storm Kristy; Hurricane John now category 2

Hector remains a strong Category 4 major hurricane in the Central Pacific Basin. Hector will likely remain a major hurricane through at least Wednesday, if not longer, as it continues to move almost due west. The center of Hector will pass 150-180 miles south of the Big Island. Hector will bring increased surf and a high risk for dangerous rip currents to east- and south-facing beaches of the southernmost islands, especially the Big Island and Maui during Wednesday into Thursday.

Tropical Depression 13 strengthened into Tropical Storm Kristy early Tuesday morning. Kristy is well west of Mexico about 1255 miles west southwest of the southern tip of Baja California. Kristy will likely strengthen into a hurricane toward the middle of the week.

John is a category 2 hurricane moving northwest through an environment favorable for further intensification. John will likely become a major hurricane within the next couple of days. The Mexican mainland will not receive any direct impacts from this system, but high surf and rip currents can be expected across the southwestern Mexican coastline and the southern tip of Baja California over the next few days. John will start to move over cooler water and into an environment of more stable dry air Thursday and Friday. This will cause the hurricane to weaken.

WE COULD SEE HURRICANE SWELL for the exposed South facing breaks as early as Thursday! Stay tuned!

For Wednesday morning we’re looking at knee to waist high surf pretty much everywhere with small wind swell inconsistent pulses out of the SW.

2018-08-08 Wed 02:02 AM -0.41 feet Low Tide
2018-08-08 Wed 03:04 AM Moonrise
2018-08-08 Wed 06:10 AM Sunrise
2018-08-08 Wed 08:29 AM 3.90 feet High Tide
2018-08-08 Wed 01:11 PM 2.09 feet Low Tide
2018-08-08 Wed 05:36 PM Moonset
2018-08-08 Wed 07:32 PM 6.64 feet High Tide
2018-08-08 Wed 07:48 PM Sunset

The conditions look good with variable 3-10 MPH breezes out of the SE/SSE until late afternoon and mild onshores out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp climbs to a scorching 87 degrees.

For Thursday morning we’ll see continued anemic surf with the promise of some Hurricane swell starting to show in the afternoon.

2018-08-09 Thu 02:46 AM -0.92 feet Low Tide
2018-08-09 Thu 04:07 AM Moonrise
2018-08-09 Thu 06:11 AM Sunrise
2018-08-09 Thu 09:12 AM 4.22 feet High Tide
2018-08-09 Thu 02:05 PM 1.84 feet Low Tide
2018-08-09 Thu 06:36 PM Moonset
2018-08-09 Thu 07:47 PM Sunset
2018-08-09 Thu 08:22 PM 6.97 feet High Tide

The conditions look okay with variable 1-4 MPH breezes until noon 6-9 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 83 degrees.

For Friday morning we’ll see that tropical Hurricane swell drum up head high to WOH, (Well Overhead), surf for the most exposed South facing breaks. The energy will move in from an extremely sideways 165 degree angle with meaty 16 second intervals. Some of the energy will bleed into the less exposed beaches, but the meat and potatoes will hit breaks in the OC and San O’ areas… stay tuned!
2018-08-10 Fri 03:29 AM -1.22 feet Low Tide
2018-08-10 Fri 05:15 AM Moonrise
2018-08-10 Fri 06:12 AM Sunrise
2018-08-10 Fri 09:52 AM 4.51 feet High Tide
2018-08-10 Fri 02:56 PM 1.57 feet Low Tide
2018-08-10 Fri 07:30 PM Moonset
2018-08-10 Fri 07:46 PM Sunset
2018-08-10 Fri 09:09 PM 7.11 feet High Tide

The conditions look okay with 1-3 MPH breezes out of the South until 10:00AM and 6-9 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp holds at a toasty 81 degrees.

Saturday morning looks like another pretty good day for Hurricane surf as the exposed South facing beaches continue to be fed a steady diet of super steeply angled South swell. Breaks that are receptive to a 165-170 degree angle will see head high to OH sets with 14 second intervals. Due to the severity of the angle most spots will get shut out so don’t be shocked if head to a West facing break and see nada!

2018-08-11 Sat 02:59 AM New Moon
2018-08-11 Sat 04:10 AM -1.29 feet Low Tide
2018-08-11 Sat 06:12 AM Sunrise
2018-08-11 Sat 06:25 AM Moonrise
2018-08-11 Sat 10:32 AM 4.76 feet High Tide
2018-08-11 Sat 03:46 PM 1.36 feet Low Tide
2018-08-11 Sat 07:45 PM Sunset
2018-08-11 Sat 08:18 PM Moonset
2018-08-11 Sat 09:57 PM 6.99 feet High Tide

The conditions look to be okay early with variable, 1-4 MPH onshore breezes until 10:00AM and 6-12 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp dips to 79 degrees.

Sunday morning holds promise as well but we’ll need to see what the other 2 tropical systems do over the next couple of days to quantify the size of the surf we’ll see. Everything is pointing to head high to OH sets at the exposed South facing beaches. Stay tuned!

2018-08-12 Sun 04:51 AM -1.13 feet Low Tide
2018-08-12 Sun 06:13 AM Sunrise
2018-08-12 Sun 07:36 AM Moonrise
2018-08-12 Sun 11:12 AM 4.94 feet High Tide
2018-08-12 Sun 04:36 PM 1.24 feet Low Tide
2018-08-12 Sun 07:43 PM Sunset
2018-08-12 Sun 09:00 PM Moonset
2018-08-12 Sun 10:44 PM 6.62 feet High Tide

The conditions look fair early with S/SW winds in the 1-4 MPH zone until 10AM and 6-12 MPH in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 78 degrees.

Water temps (day of 4CAST update), are as follows: Malibu 72, Santa Monica 72 South Bay 72, Huntington 72, Newport 74.

The next 4CAST will be posted on Thursday!

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