SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA SURF FORECAST UPDATED on 10-11-18
Tropical Storm Sergio will steadily weaken as it tracks northeastward toward Baja California. Sergio will continue on a northeast track until making landfall early Friday morning. Heavy rainfall from Sergio will spread across Baja California, northwestern Mexico and eventually across parts of the southwestern United States late this week into this weekend and lead to flash flooding. Sergio will transition to a tropical rainstorm as the remaining circulation moves into the southwestern United States over the weekend.
The rest of the East Pacific and the Central Pacific remain relatively quiet. No new tropical development is expected across either basin for the rest of this week. There is a low chance for tropical development off the west coast of Central America next week as another large, counter-clockwise turning wind pattern sets up over Central America. This large gyre could help spin up a tropical system in the Caribbean and near the west coast of Central America next week.
For Friday morning we’ll see Hurricane Sergio hit full stride for the AM with head high + surf at the top spots in the OC and San O’ areas. The angle will be 195-205 degrees with 14-15 second intervals and should get into every nook and cranny that gets a whiff of the South. The swell looks strongest in the morning and then will start a slow fade into the afternoon.
We should also see another pulse out of the SW start to show up late in the day with 18 second intervals from a liberal angle of 220 degrees. That should deliver chest high sets to the South facing breaks and help reinforce the fading Sergio swell on Saturday.
2018-10-12 Fri 12:02 AM 4.32 feet High Tide
2018-10-12 Fri 05:20 AM 1.91 feet Low Tide
2018-10-12 Fri 06:56 AM Sunrise
2018-10-12 Fri 10:28 AM Moonrise
2018-10-12 Fri 11:35 AM 5.62 feet High Tide
2018-10-12 Fri 06:23 PM Sunset
2018-10-12 Fri 06:38 PM 0.42 feet Low Tide
2018-10-12 Fri 09:11 PM Moonset
The conditions look pretty good with Easterly breezes at 1-4 MPH until noon and 6-13 MPH out of the West in the afternoon. The air temp jumps up to 76 degrees.
For Saturday morning Hurricane Sergio surf will be on the decline, but the new SW swell, (220 degrees at 16 seconds), should deliver chest high + sets at the better South facing breaks. There will be a few straggler sets from Sergio but nothing you can hang your hat on.
2018-10-13 Sat 01:02 AM 3.84 feet High Tide
2018-10-13 Sat 05:52 AM 2.44 feet Low Tide
2018-10-13 Sat 06:57 AM Sunrise
2018-10-13 Sat 11:26 AM Moonrise
2018-10-13 Sat 12:11 PM 5.26 feet High Tide
2018-10-13 Sat 06:22 PM Sunset
2018-10-13 Sat 07:36 PM 0.72 feet Low Tide
2018-10-13 Sat 09:54 PM Moonset
The conditions look okay the with variable breezes at out of the S/SW at 2-4 MPH until noon and SW at 7-9 MPH in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 68 degrees and there’s a 20% chance of rain.
For Sunday morning that SW energy should hold and dish up chest to shoulder high sets early and it will get smaller and less consistent as the day marches on.
Also in the mix will be some fresh, waist high +, NW wind swell from a 310 degree angle and 10 second intervals.
2018-10-14 Sun 02:25 AM 3.49 feet High Tide
2018-10-14 Sun 06:28 AM 2.93 feet Low Tide
2018-10-14 Sun 06:58 AM Sunrise
2018-10-14 Sun 12:20 PM Moonrise
2018-10-14 Sun 12:54 PM 4.85 feet High Tide
2018-10-14 Sun 06:20 PM Sunset
2018-10-14 Sun 08:50 PM 0.97 feet Low Tide
2018-10-14 Sun 10:41 PM Moonset
The conditions look a little sketchy the with Westerly breezes at 4-6 MPH until noon and 8-10 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 68 degrees and there’s a 10% chance of rain.
For Monday morning smallish SW swell will be the only show in town with waist to chest high sets for the better South facing breaks.
2018-10-15 Mon 04:35 AM 3.46 feet High Tide
2018-10-15 Mon 06:59 AM Sunrise
2018-10-15 Mon 07:31 AM 3.33 feet Low Tide
2018-10-15 Mon 01:11 PM Moonrise
2018-10-15 Mon 01:57 PM 4.45 feet High Tide
2018-10-15 Mon 06:19 PM Sunset
2018-10-15 Mon 10:15 PM 1.05 feet Low Tide
2018-10-15 Mon 11:30 PM Moonset
The conditions look great with offshore Santa Ana breezes out of the E/NE/NNE all day long. The air temp tops skyrockets to 78 degrees.
For Tuesday morning we’ll see continued waist to chest high sets for the better South facing breaks in the AM and that will taper off throughout the day.
2018-10-16 Tue 06:16 AM 3.73 feet High Tide
2018-10-16 Tue 07:00 AM Sunrise
2018-10-16 Tue 10:08 AM 3.44 feet Low Tide
2018-10-16 Tue 11:02 AM First Quarter
2018-10-16 Tue 01:57 PM Moonrise
2018-10-16 Tue 03:36 PM 4.22 feet High Tide
2018-10-16 Tue 06:18 PM Sunset
2018-10-16 Tue 11:27 PM 0.98 feet Low Tide
The conditions look good again with continued Santa Ana winds and breezes out of the N/NE at 2-9 MPH until noon and 5-9 MPH out of the SW in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at a toasty 77 degrees.
Water temps are as follows, (day of 4CAST update) and are as follows: Malibu 66, Santa Monica 69 South Bay 69, Huntington 64, Newport 68.
The next 4CAST will be posted on Sunday!
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