Today’s Slideshow is courtesy of Dave Waters – Newport Beach-The Wedge 8-26-14
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SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA SURF FORECAST UPDATED 9-14-14
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Okay took the red eye in from Peru last night and am ready to get back to work. Sorry for any lapse in service over the last 10 days. The forecast will one again be updated daily and I’ll take care of any and all camera issues that have arisen in my absence! Thanks for your patience!
HURRICANE WATCH September 14th, 2014 – Hurricane Odile is a dangerous category 4 hurricane just off of the southwest Mexican coast and it will bring deteriorating conditions to southern Baja California Sur through Sunday night.
As Odile moves steadily northwest it will pass close to the southern coast of Baja California Sur Sunday night. Hurricane conditions can be expected in southern Baja California with structural damage and power outages likely, including Cabo San Lucas. Additionally, the heaviest rainfall will occur in the southern portion of the peninsula, where 4-8 inches will accumulate with locally higher amounts. This will lead to flash flooding and mudslides. A damaging storm surge of several feet can impact the immediate southern coast Sunday night as well.
Tropical Depression 16, centered about 600 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California, has become slightly more organized.
Elsewhere in the basin, we will be watching the Gulf of Tehuantepec over the next couple of days for possible development. Computer guidance indicates there will be an area of low pressure in this region, and there is potential for tropical development. If this happens, it could impact the southern Mexican coast – and as such, this feature bears watching.
Although Odile has hit Cat 4 status it’s just hugging the Coast too much to send an impactful swell to So Cal. Things can change quickly, but for now it looks like we’ll only see sideways swell.
Monday morning should see some 20+ second interval energy from a liberal 215-220 degrees. This should be good for some chest high plus sets at the better South facing breaks as it fills in through the day.
Likely a bit sporadic, but when the sets do roll in, they should have a little pop to them!
2014-09-15 Mon 04:08 AM 3.45 feet High Tide
2014-09-15 Mon 06:37 AM Sunrise
2014-09-15 Mon 08:31 AM 2.78 feet Low Tide
2014-09-15 Mon 01:25 PM Moonset
2014-09-15 Mon 03:02 PM 4.85 feet High Tide
2014-09-15 Mon 07:00 PM Sunset
2014-09-15 Mon 07:05 PM Last Quarter
2014-09-15 Mon 10:50 PM 1.02 feet Low Tide
The conditions look fair with variable winds in the 1-5 MPH zone until 11AM and then those pick up to 9-11 MPH in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 86
Tuesday morning should have some fun sets out of the SW as that long period swell, from an angle of 215-220 degrees, peaks in the morning. This should put the better South facing beaches in the chest high plus zone, and although not particularly large in wave height, it will be pushing some deep water with it.
It looks like the Odile energy should work it’s way into the mix as well, with potential for a little size at the super exposed South facing beaches. Right now, (see image above), Odile is hugging the coast which means that any swell we do see from this storm will slide in at a ridiculously sideways angle of 155-160 degrees and miss all but the most exposed South facing breaks. Things can change quickly, but if Odile remains on it’s current course we’re pretty much getting the big stymie for the remainder of it’s existence.
2014-09-16 Tue 12:03 AM Moonrise
2014-09-16 Tue 05:57 AM 3.61 feet High Tide
2014-09-16 Tue 06:37 AM Sunrise
2014-09-16 Tue 10:18 AM 2.95 feet Low Tide
2014-09-16 Tue 02:14 PM Moonset
2014-09-16 Tue 04:28 PM 4.74 feet High Tide
2014-09-16 Tue 06:59 PM Sunset
The conditions look okay with light and variable winds in the 1-5 MPH zone until 11AM and then those pick up to 10-12 MPH in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at scorching 88 degrees.
For Wednesday morning that 210-215 degree energy will continue to dish up powerful, chest high plus sets as the intervals drop to a still respectable, 16-18 seconds. It will definitely still have some pop to it when the sets do roll through.
Odile remains in play, from that extreme angle, so I’m making no promises unless the trajectory changes and it starts spinning to the West. The MOST EXPOSED BEACHES, (and not many of them), will see surf in the chest to shoulder high zone. Let me reiterate that nothing is etched in stone here and a Hurricane does not follow a script. I can only go on what the projections say on paper!!!
2014-09-17 Wed 12:04 AM 0.87 feet Low Tide
2014-09-17 Wed 12:54 AM Moonrise
2014-09-17 Wed 06:38 AM Sunrise
2014-09-17 Wed 06:59 AM 3.89 feet High Tide
2014-09-17 Wed 11:49 AM 2.80 feet Low Tide
2014-09-17 Wed 02:59 PM Moonset
2014-09-17 Wed 05:44 PM 4.81 feet High Tide
2014-09-17 Wed 06:57 PM Sunset
The conditions look decent with variable winds in the 1-3 MPH zone until 10AM and then those bump up to 10-14 MPH in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 86 degrees.
By Thursday morning that LONG interval SW energy will shorten to 16 seconds, and the sets will come in with less frequency, but there should still be some fun waves rolling through if you have the patience.
We should also see some fresh, 12-14 second, medium interval swell, moving in from the NW. This should be good for some waist high plus sets from a fairly steep, 310 degree angle.
2014-09-18 Thu 12:57 AM 0.70 feet Low Tide
2014-09-18 Thu 01:45 AM Moonrise
2014-09-18 Thu 06:39 AM Sunrise
2014-09-18 Thu 07:38 AM 4.15 feet High Tide
2014-09-18 Thu 12:47 PM 2.49 feet Low Tide
2014-09-18 Thu 03:40 PM Moonset
2014-09-18 Thu 06:40 PM 4.97 feet High Tide
2014-09-18 Thu 06:56 PM Sunset
The conditions look decent with variable winds in the 1-3 MPH zone until 10AM and then those bump up to 10-12 MPH in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 82 degrees.
By Friday morning there will be little to no evidence of the SW energy left. We’ll be reliant solely upon that NW energy, which should be good for one more day of waist high plus surf from that same 305-310 degree angle.
2014-09-19 Fri 01:36 AM 0.59 feet Low Tide
2014-09-19 Fri 02:38 AM Moonrise
2014-09-19 Fri 06:40 AM Sunrise
2014-09-19 Fri 08:06 AM 4.38 feet High Tide
2014-09-19 Fri 01:29 PM 2.14 feet Low Tide
2014-09-19 Fri 04:18 PM Moonset
2014-09-19 Fri 06:54 PM Sunset
2014-09-19 Fri 07:24 PM 5.13 feet High Tide
The conditions look decent with variable winds in the 1-3 MPH zone until 10AM and then those bump up to 10-13 MPH in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 80 degrees.
The current water temps Newport 72 degrees, Huntington 69 degrees, the South Bay showed as 74 degrees, Santa Monica 71 degrees and Malibu 70 degrees.
I’ll be back on Monday with the next update!