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SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA SURF FORECAST UPDATED 9-24-14
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HURRICANE WATCH September 24th, 2014 – Tropical Depression 18 is located 315 miles S/SW of Manzanillo, Mexico. The depression continues to move west at about 14 mph. Warm ocean water will allow the depression to strengthen into a tropical storm. This should happen later tomorrow and depression 18 should become tropical storm Rachel.
Current computer projections suggest tropical depression 18 will move west-northwest parallel to but well offshore of the southwest coast of Mexico during the next several days. Model output does suggest the system should turn more to the northwest early next week but still stay well off shore of the southern Baja Peninsula. By the time this tropical cyclone reaches that latitude it should start to encounter cooler water and as a result will start to weaken.
Thursday morning should see a pick up in size as some NW ground swell creeps into the picture. This swell will come down the line from a fairly steep 300-305 degree angle with meaty 14-16 second intervals as it fills in through the day. The best West facing breaks should see shoulder to head high plus sets in the afternoon.
2014-09-25 Thu 04:09 AM 1.09 feet Low Tide
2014-09-25 Thu 06:44 AM Sunrise
2014-09-25 Thu 08:02 AM Moonrise
2014-09-25 Thu 10:20 AM 5.41 feet High Tide
2014-09-25 Thu 04:44 PM 0.70 feet Low Tide
2014-09-25 Thu 06:46 PM Sunset
2014-09-25 Thu 07:38 PM Moonset
2014-09-25 Thu 10:48 PM 4.69 feet High Tide
The conditions look okay with light and variable winds in the 2-5 MPH zone at first light and then those pick up to 11-14 MPH in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 79 degrees.
By Friday morning that NW energy will have hit stride with shoulder to head high sets at West facing beaches and overhead sets for the top deepwater breaks. We’ll also see some stiff winds develop in the Santa Barbara channel which will be good for some short interval, NW wind swell generation for the better West facing beaches.
2014-09-26 Fri 04:33 AM 1.37 feet Low Tide
2014-09-26 Fri 06:44 AM Sunrise
2014-09-26 Fri 08:58 AM Moonrise
2014-09-26 Fri 10:47 AM 5.46 feet High Tide
2014-09-26 Fri 05:22 PM 0.69 feet Low Tide
2014-09-26 Fri 06:44 PM Sunset
2014-09-26 Fri 08:15 PM Moonset
2014-09-26 Fri 11:28 PM 4.34 feet High Tide
The conditions look marginal with variable winds in the 2-5 MPH zone until 11AM and then those bump up to 11-14 MPH in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 77 degrees.
By Saturday morning should see more of the same as that NW energy is projected to continue dishing up shoulder to head high sets with some overhead thumpers at the best West facing breaks.
The Santa Barbara will continue to blow so we should see some more locally brewed wind swell for Sunday.
2014-09-27 Sat 04:59 AM 1.69 feet Low Tide
2014-09-27 Sat 06:45 AM Sunrise
2014-09-27 Sat 09:55 AM Moonrise
2014-09-27 Sat 11:16 AM 5.44 feet High Tide
2014-09-27 Sat 06:06 PM 0.76 feet Low Tide
2014-09-27 Sat 06:43 PM Sunset
2014-09-27 Sat 08:56 PM Moonset
The conditions look tolerable with variable winds in the 1-5 MPH zone until 11AM and then those bump up to 10-13 MPH in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 77 degrees.
By Sunday morning the NW energy will be on the fade. The morning session should see waist to chest high sets with some larger sneaker sets for the exposed West facing beaches.
The wind swell should be in the waist high plus zone.
2014-09-28 Sun 12:15 AM 3.94 feet High Tide
2014-09-28 Sun 05:28 AM 2.04 feet Low Tide
2014-09-28 Sun 06:46 AM Sunrise
2014-09-28 Sun 10:53 AM Moonrise
2014-09-28 Sun 11:52 AM 5.36 feet High Tide
2014-09-28 Sun 06:42 PM Sunset
2014-09-28 Sun 07:01 PM 0.87 feet Low Tide
2014-09-28 Sun 09:41 PM Moonset
The conditions look marginal with variable winds in the 3-6 MPH zone until 11AM and then those bump up to 10-12 MPH in the afternoon. The air temp tops out at 77 degrees.
The current water temps Newport 65 degrees, Huntington 67 degrees, the South Bay showed as 72 degrees, Santa Monica 69 degrees and Malibu 66 degrees.
I’ll be back on Thursday with the next update!